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AAF (Buy, TP: 305p, +163%) MTN (Buy, TP ZAR250, +121%) IHS Towers (Buy, TP$20, +147%) Nigerian Telcos – Diesel prices falling? Headwinds turning into tailwinds

According to Airtel Africa’s CEO, the diesel price in Nigeria has fallen 20% since the end of March. Additionally, the Nigerian press is reporting that after years of delays the commissioning of the Dangote Refinery is imminent. As a result, we see headwinds turning into tailwinds for the Nigerian Telcos and Towers and especially AAF, and medium term for IHS. This note runs through the potential for earnings upgrades across the space.
Underlyings
MTN Nigeria Communications Plc

Provider
New Street Research
New Street Research

Provided by our team of experienced analysts, our work is idea driven, based on independence of thought, sector expertise, and firmly focussed on fundamentals and valuation.

New Street Research is an independent, partner-owned, research firm specialising in equity and debt research. Our equity research embraces the following sectors:

  • Pan European Telecom Services and Cable
  • US Telecoms, Cable, Satellite and Towers
  • Global Emerging Market Telecoms
  • Japan Telecoms
  • Asian Internet
  • Pan European Healthcare
  • Global healthcare thematic research

We provide debt research on:

  • Pan European Telecom Services and Cable


Analysts
Chris Hoare

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