Nigerian Telcos Still weathering the (macro) storm

Nigerian telcos continue to perform well from a top line and KPIs perspective. Market service revenue growth accelerated in Q4 with both MTN and AAF growing underlying service revenue by 25% YoY.

MTN (Buy, TP: ZAR130, +44%) Q4 23: Slower quarter but decent given the context; MT guidance maintained

MTN has reported a slower set of Q4 results but performance remains decent given the macro challenges the company has been facing. MT guidance has been reiterated which is encouraging.

African Telcos Deep dive on Fintech valuations; stay Bullish on AAF and MTN

We deep dive on African Telco’s Fintech valuations in this note which is a follow up of our higher-level note Show me the (Mobile) Money. African Telcos are becoming more active about unlocking value from Mobile Money (MoMo) with MTN’s recent deal with Mastercard and now rumours that AAF is looking to IPO its MoMo business. Global Fintech/Payments multiples have derated over the past couple of years, but we continue to see great value in the African Telco’s MoMo assets which remain one the key non-core drivers for growth.

2025 outlook for datacenter AI, BEVs slow, Hybrids accelerate, AMD GPUs, and much more. The Weekly Wrap-Up.

NSR Policy: ACP’s Perils of Pauline

In this Weekend Update, we review the multiple activities affecting the prospects for an ACP extension, including one legislative solution that was pulled from a mark-up, a Senate hearing on the subject, and an effort to attach an extension to FAA reauthorization. Our bottom line remains: 1. With the ACP funds about to run out, recipients in May or June are likely to start having to make hard choices about what they are willing to pay for. 2. We agree with the consensus in government and industry that Congress is highly unlikely to provide an extension, but efforts will continue, as the numb...

Autumn for Broadband 1Q24

In this installment of our Autumn for Broadband series, we provide a quick update on trends in the broadband market based on what we have seen from the companies that have reported so far. Industry net adds were substantially weaker in 1Q24 with all technologies seeing slower growth (except DSL which was flat). Cable was impacted the most.