New Street Research - Baidu Inc Sponsored ADR Class A (K3SD) BIDU 1Q24 Preview: Ad Recovery Could Take Time

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New Street Research

Jin Yoon

BIDU 1Q24 Preview: Ad Recovery Could Take Time

What’s New: We nudge down our 1Q24 Baidu Core top-line estimates as ad recovery could be slower than anticipated. Margins could remain stable as Baidu could continue to be prudent in its overall investments.

Analysts:
Jin Yoon

09/04/2024 1 EN

Underlying

Baidu Inc Sponsored ADR Class A

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US0567521085 Singapore Exchange Cayman Islands

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New Street Research

Provided by our team of experienced analysts, our work is idea driven, based on independence of thought, sector expertise, and firmly focussed on fundamentals and valuation.

New Street Research is an independent, partner-owned, research firm specialising in equity and debt research. Our equity research embraces the following sectors:

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Pan European Telecom Services and Cable

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Analysts

Jin Yoon

Other Reports on these Companies

New Street Research

BIDU 3Q24 Results: Monetization of Gen-AI Search Could Take Time to Materialize

What’s new: Baidu’s reported 3Q24 top-line results that were largely in line with consensus and our expectations. Baidu Core ads could remain challenging in 4Q partly due to macro and limited monetization related to gen-AI search. AI Cloud rev growth could accelerate in 4Q partly driven by gen-AI related revs. We lower our PT from USD130 to USD110 amid lowered outlook. Our updated PT of USD110 implies 10.6x FY25E P/E. We maintain our BUY rating. Analysts: Jin Yoon

15h / 58m 15h / 58m 1 EN

UOB

Baidu Inc (9888 HK/): 3Q24: Earnings miss on AIGC investment; expect subdued online ad revenue growth in 4Q24.

Baidu’s 3Q24 results came in below expectations. Revenue grew 3% yoy to Rmb33.6b, in line with consensus estimate. Gross margin inched down 2ppt yoy to 51.1%, within consensus expectation. Non-GAAP operating profit was Rmb7b, down 8% yoy, while non-GAAP operating profit margin came in at 21%. Non-GAAP net profit plummeted 19% yoy to Rmb5.9b, missing consensus estimate by 6%. Maintain HOLD with an unchanged target price of HK$90.00 (US$100.00).

20h / 54m 20h / 54m 1 EN

UOB

Greater China Daily: Friday, November 22, 2024

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Automobile China’s PV insurance registrations grew 29% yoy, 15% mom and 14% wow during 11-17 Nov 24. PEV market share dipped 2.6ppt wow to 51.5%. BYD's price cuts aim to boost sales but risk pressuring 4Q24 margins. The NDRC indicated support for ICE-cars, the first time in recent years. The Guangzhou Auto Show highlighted record-breaking figures and new trends in technology, models and pricing. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Geely, Fuyao, and Desay SV. IT Hardware Comments from NVIDIA and other key players in the AI infrastructure supply chain indicate that Blackwe...

22h / 42m 22h / 42m 1 EN

Alphabet (GOOGL, Buy, $213 target) Forget Chrome, 3P payments are the heart of the issue

Yesterday the DOJ filed its proposed remedies in the Search antitrust case. The recommended divestiture of Chrome drew most of the headlines. And while potentially very negative for GOOGL (as are all proposed remedies), we don’t believe it is the most impactful to the market for general search services.

EUR 9547.00

1h / 5m 1h / 5m 1 EN

Jonathan Chaplin

Jonathan Chaplin

SATS: DBS merger breaks

According to press reports, TPG will call off the merger today. For the merger to proceed, bondholders needed to agree to a debt exchange. Apparently, they have rejected the exchange. Our quick thoughts in this brief note.

EUR 9547.00

9h / 56m 9h / 56m 1 EN

Jonathan Chaplin

Jonathan Chaplin

3Q24 Broadband Trends: FWA capacity limits; FWA demand limits

In this iteration of “Broadband Trends” we update our FWA capacity forecast. We also touch on early signs that demand for FWA may be limited, which could prevent mobile operators from reaching capacity limits (or force them to work harder to get there). This could have a big impact on the pace of Cable subscriber growth. Finally, we reprise our work on the competitive positioning of the various operators based on relative NPS scores.

EUR 9547.00

10h / 20m 10h / 20m 1 EN

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BIDU 1Q24 Preview: Ad Recovery Could Take Time

BIDU 3Q24 Results: Monetization of Gen-AI Search Could Take Time to Materialize

Baidu Inc (9888 HK/): 3Q24: Earnings miss on AIGC investment; expect subdued online ad revenue growth in 4Q24.

Greater China Daily: Friday, November 22, 2024

Alphabet (GOOGL, Buy, $213 target) Forget Chrome, 3P payments are the heart of the issue

SATS: DBS merger breaks

3Q24 Broadband Trends: FWA capacity limits; FWA demand limits

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