Report
Dominic Rose ...
  • Naresh Chouhan
EUR 4393.50 For Business Accounts Only

Sanofi - Dupixent Profitability Set to Soar (BUY, TP EUR125 [120], 16pgs)

Dupixent is still not margin accretive despite selling €1bn in Q1 & €3.5bn in 2020. We show SAN/REGN are spending ~€2bn on S&M on Dupixent resulting in it being a 90bps drag on the margin in 2020 but will add 60bps by 2023 & 140bps by 2026. We again increase our flu estimates on the back of strong ex-US demand & better mix. We forecast 750bps of group margin expansion 2020-26 and are 14% ahead of consensus EBIT in 2025. At just 12x 2022 EPS, teens EPS growth next year and 11% EPS CAGR 2021-26, we view Sanofi as the most under-valued name in our large cap universe. High Conviction BUY.

For access to the full note, please contact Naresh Chouhan ( )
Underlying
Sanofi

Sanofi is an integrated, global healthcare company focused on patient needs and engaged in the research, development, manufacture and marketing of healthcare products. Two segments make up Co.'s business: Pharmaceuticals and Vaccines. The Pharmaceuticals segment covers research, development, production and marketing of medicines, consisting of flagship products, plus a broad range of prescription medicines, generic medicines, and consumer health products. The Vaccines segment includes research, development, production and marketing of vaccines in five areas: pediatric vaccines, influenza vaccines, adult and adolescent booster vaccines, meningitis vaccines, and travel and endemic vaccines.

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Analysts
Dominic Rose

Naresh Chouhan

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