Telenor (Buy, TP: NOK145, +14%) Q1 24: Good numbers, impressive FCF generation

Telenor has reported a good set of Q1 numbers, with SR and EBITDA c1% ahead, and FCF 49% ahead. FY24 guidance has not been lifted (but has been reiterated) despite the good Q1 numbers, with phasing of payments/items to impact FCF throughout the rest of the year, and this is perhaps a little disappointing, but momentum is clearly with Telenor at present, and if current trends persist, then guidance and estimates will move up.

EBITDA-capex 3% above, strong FCF

Solid momentum into the year for Telenor

Solid momentum into the year for Telenor Telenor showed good momentum going into the first quarter with top-line growth in both the Nordics and Asia. "The first quarter was yet another solid quarter for Telenor. We continue to develop security services to protect our customers against digital attacks, and we see that it is important for our customers," says Sigve Brekke, CEO of Telenor. Services revenues in the first quarter ended at NOK 15.8 billion, corresponding to an organic increase of 5.6 per cent compared to the same period last year. EBITDA ended at NOK 8.5 billion, correspondin...

2025 outlook for datacenter AI, BEVs slow, Hybrids accelerate, AMD GPUs, and much more. The Weekly Wrap-Up.

NSR Policy: ACP’s Perils of Pauline

In this Weekend Update, we review the multiple activities affecting the prospects for an ACP extension, including one legislative solution that was pulled from a mark-up, a Senate hearing on the subject, and an effort to attach an extension to FAA reauthorization. Our bottom line remains: 1. With the ACP funds about to run out, recipients in May or June are likely to start having to make hard choices about what they are willing to pay for. 2. We agree with the consensus in government and industry that Congress is highly unlikely to provide an extension, but efforts will continue, as the numb...

Autumn for Broadband 1Q24

In this installment of our Autumn for Broadband series, we provide a quick update on trends in the broadband market based on what we have seen from the companies that have reported so far. Industry net adds were substantially weaker in 1Q24 with all technologies seeing slower growth (except DSL which was flat). Cable was impacted the most.