Report
Nicolas David

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 01/19/2022

We have updated our model of the 6-month trend in the equity risk premium (ERP) based on the momentum of 12m EPS, the rise in Bund yields and that of the PMI. By incorporating our expectations for 2022, our model shows an additional ERP easing potential of around 30bp. If our expectations, and in particular our macro growth and EPS expectations, turn out to be correct, this means that in the short term we should focus on those sectors that still harbour potential for an ERP contractio...
Underlyings
Air France-KLM SA

Air France-KLM is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, Co. is engaged in transporting passengers and cargo, aeronautics maintenance and other air-transport related activities, including catering and charter services. Co. operates in six geographical regions: Metropolitan France; Europe (except France) and North Africa; Caribbean, French Guiana and Indian Ocean; Africa, Middle East; Americas, Polynesia; and Asia and New Caledonia. Co. organizes its business around the following four segments: Passenger, providing passenger transportation services on scheduled flights; Cargo, transporting freight on flights and selling cargo capacity to third parties; Maintenance, and Other activities.

ASML Holding NV

ASML Holding provides lithography systems for the semiconductor industry, manufacturing machines that are used in the production of integrated circuits or chips. Co. develops, produces, markets, sells and services advanced semiconductor equipment systems exclusively consisting of lithography systems. Co. sells its products to micro-processor manufacturers and Foundries, NAND-Flash memory and DRAM memory chipmakers. Co.'s products line includes the following: PAS 5000 lithography systems, which Co. no longer manufactures but continues to refurbish; PAS 5500 products; TWINSCAN DUV systems and TWINSCAN EUV systems based on a new platform utilizing the concepts of the TWINSCAN platform.

CECONOMY AG

Metro is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, Co. is engaged in retail and wholesale. Co.'s operations are divided into four divisions: Metro Cash & Carry, Real, Media-Saturn and Galeria Kaufhof. The Metro Cash & Carry division operates in the cash and carry sector in Europe, Asia and Africa. The Real division is a hypermarket operator in Germany where it operates both stationary stores and an online store. The Media-Saturn division provides an assortment of brand products in consumer electronics retailing. The Galeria Kaufhof division operates department stores in Germany and Belgium. Co. is also a property manager through METRO PROPERTIES GmbH & Co. KG.

CompuGroup Medical SE & Co. KGaA

Econocom Group SE Class D

Econocom Group specializes in the management of IT and telecom infrastructures for businesses throughout Europe, U.S. and China. Co. designs and implements products and services for SMEs, corporations or public authorities. It operates through four complementary businesses: IT products and solutions, distributed infrastructures (outsourcing, maintenance and consulting), telecom services and administrative and financial management of ICT assets. Co.'s business segments are as follows: IT Financial Services; Managed Services; Products and Solutions; and Telecom Services.

KBC Group N.V.

KBC Group is a bank-insurance group engaged in providing products and services mainly to retail, private banking, SME and mid-cap clients. Co. focuses on its primary markets of Belgium, the Czech Republic, Slovakia, Hungary and Bulgaria. Co. is also present in Ireland and, to a limited extent, in several other countries to support corporate clients from its primary markets. Co.'s main brands are KBC and CBC in Belgium, CSOB in Czech Republic and Slovakia, K&H in Hungary, CIBANK and DZI Insurance in Bulgaria, and KBC Bank Ireland in Ireland. As of Dec 31 2014, Co. had 1,601 bank branches. In addition, Co. had total assets of Euro245.17 billion.

Prosus N.V. Class N

Prosus NV Formerly known as Myriad International Holdings NV. Prosus NV, formerly Myriad International Holdings NV, is a Netherland-based global consumer Internet group. The Company is organized into six business areas: Classifieds, Payments & Fintech, Food delivery, Etail, Ventures and Travel. It also holds investments in listed Social & Internet assets. The Classifieds business area manages mobile and digital marketplaces. The Payments & Fintech business area includes PayU, a Payment Service Platform. The Food delivery business area manages food delivery companies. The Travel business area operates a travel online platform. The Etail business area includes business to consumer e-commerce companies. The Venture business area looks for and invests in early stage companies.

Safran S.A.

Safran designs, develops and manufactures high technology electronics through three businesses: Aerospace, Defense and Security. Aerospace includes Aerospace Propulsion (propulsion systems for commercial aircraft, military transport, training and combat aircraft, rocket engines, civil and military helicopters) and Aircraft Equipment (mechanical, hydromechanical and electromechanical equipment); Defense (optronic, avionic and electronic systems); and Security (biometric technologies for fingerprint, iris and face recognition, identity management products, access management and transaction security, including tomographic systems for detection of dangerous or illicit substances in baggage).

SMITH & NEPHEW PLC

Smith & Nephew is a global medical devices business operating in the markets for advanced surgical devices comprising orthopaedic reconstruction and trauma, sports medicine and advanced wound management. Co.'s advanced medical products and services include: Orthopaedic Reconstruction and Trauma (joint replacement systems for knees and hips and products to help repair broken bones); Advanced Wound Management (treatment and prevention products for hard-to-heal wounds); and Sports Medicine (implants and enabling technologies for minimally invasive repair of the joint).

Ubisoft Entertainment SA

Ubisoft Entertainment is an international independent developer, publisher & distributor of video games. Co. centers its business activities on developing, publishing & distributing video games for portable & home consoles, the PC, smartphones & tablets in both physical & online formats: high-definition with games for Xbox 360, PlayStation®3 & PC; casual with games for Nintendo®, KINECT & PlayStation®3 Move; and online for on-line games. Co.'s catalogue includes various types of games: Action/Adventure, Shooters, Sports, Strategy, Simulation, TV and Movie licenses, Games for everyone and Driving. Co.'s trademarks include Assassin's Creed®, Rainbow Six® Vegas 2, and Rayman Raving Rabids®.

UCB S.A.

UCB is a global biopharmaceutical company focused on severe diseases in two therapeutic areas, namely central nervous system disorders and immunology. In the area of central nervous system disorders, Co. is focused on advanced Parkinson's disease, epilepsy, restless legs syndrome and epilepsy. In the area of immunology disorders, Co. is focused on rheumatoid arthritis, axial spondyloarthritis, psoriatic arthritis, systemic lupus erythematosus, juvenile idiopathic arthritis, post-menopausal osteoporosis, systemic lupus erythematosus and immunological diseases.

Provider
Oddo BHF
Oddo BHF

​Oddo Securities provides securities brokerage and research services. The company offers equity, economic, and derivatives research and credit analysis services. It focuses on insurance, automotive, building materials, pharmaceuticals, telecommunications, information technology, and agri-food industries.

Analysts
Nicolas David

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