IBERIAN DAILY 10 JUNE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

NEWS SUMMARY: AMPER, ARCELORMITTAL, CAF. All eyes on US-China negotiations The week kicked off without relevant macroeconomic data, with European stock markets sliding slightly except the Ibex that ended with sight gains. In the STOXX 600, the best-performing sectors were Travel&Leisure and Real Estate, whereas defensive industries such as Household and Utilities ended with the biggest drops. On the macro side, the Treasury Secretary S. Bessent and the Trade Secretary H. Lutnick viewed the meeting between the US and China as positive, which could result in lower restrictions on US technology...

IBERIAN DAILY 09 JUNE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

NEWS SUMMARY: CAIXABANK, ENCE, FERROVIAL, NATURGY, TELEFÓNICA, VISCOFAN. Stock markets try to climb above highs Despite the absence of good macroeconomic data last week, stock markets ended with gains, fuelled by the US (the S&P500 rose around +1.7%) and by the better employment data at the end of the week. In the STOXX 600, the best-performing sectors last weekk were Technology and Pharma, whereas Autos and Media ended with the biggest drops. On the macro side, in the euro zone, the 1Q’25 GDP was raised 0.3pp to 1.% YoY and April’s retail sales rose in line with expectations. In the US, May’...

INFORME DIARIO 09 JUNIO (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: CAIXABANK, ENCE, FERROVIAL, NATURGY, TELEFÓNICA, VISCOFAN. Las bolsas siguen intentando superar los máximos A pesar de una semana sin buenos datos macro, las bolsas terminaron al alza con el empuje de EE.UU. donde el S&P 500 subió un +1,1%. En el STOXX 600 los mejores sectores de la semana fueron Tecnología y Farma frente a Autos y Media que fueron los que más cayeron. En la Eurozona el PIB 1T’25 se revisó al alza 0,3 p.p. hasta el 1,5% a/a mientras que las ventas al por menor de abril repuntaron en línea con lo previsto. En EE.UU. la creación de ...

Negative signals for the US housing sector

Macro indicators for the construction sector, and the housing market in particular, have been poor recently. Homebuilders confidence has plummeted, housing sales and starts are stagnating at low levels. A sector so central to the economy appears to be frozen. President Trump has an idea for boosting the sector, and this would involve cutting Fed rates by 200-300bp in one fell swoop, in the hope of making the cost of mortgage borrowing bearable. His anti-Powell fury no doubt has something to do with this housing slump. It goes without saying that the Fed is not prepared to move that fast or th...

Oddo’s 2 Weeks Ahead_Friday 27 June 2025

Signaux négatifs pour le secteur immobilier US

Dernièrement, les indicateurs macro relatifs au secteur de la construction, en particulier le marché du logement, ont été mauvais. La confiance des promoteurs a chuté, les ventes et la production de logements stagnent à un bas niveau. Un secteur si central pour l’économie paraît gelé. Le président Trump a une idée pour lui redonner du tonus, ce serait de baisser les taux de la Fed de 200-300pdb d’un coup, dans l’espoir de rendre supportable le coût des emprunts immobiliers. Sa fureur anti-Powell a sans doute à voir avec ce marasme. La Fed n’est pas disposée à bouger si vite ni si fort il va sa...