Report
Virginia Romero
EUR 100.00 For Business Accounts Only

REPSOL: TRADING STATEMENT 4T’25 (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

Trading statement 4T’25 flojo por Upstream. SOBREPONDERAR
A pesar del buen comportamiento visto en 4T’25 en el margen de refino (hasta 11,1 d/b vs 8,8 d/b en 3T’25, vs 6,9 d/b guidance anual y BS), habría pesado más negativamente en el trimestre el deterioro del precio del crudo (hasta 63,7 d/b vs 69,1 d/b 3T’25, en línea guidance) y la menor producción (hasta 544 kboe vs 551 kboe 3T25, en rango alto anual). Para Rdos. 4T’25 (19-feb) estimamos un BDI 4T’25 ajustado de 630 M euros (c. -23% vs 3T’25, vs 826 M euros consenso, que deberá ajustarlo a la baja). Esperaríamos una lectura floja de este TS tras el buen arranque visto en 2026 (+8,4% vs +2,6% IBEX y +4,4% sector OIL europeo). Mantenemos SOBREPONDERAR por atractiva retribución al accionista (yield c. 11%) y potencial (c. +10%).
Underlying
Repsol SA

Repsol is an oil and gas company. Co. is engaged in all the activities relating to the oil and gas industry, including exploration, development and production of crude oil and natural gas, transportation of oil products, liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) and natural gas, refining, the production of a wide range of oil products and the retailing of oil products, oil derivatives, petrochemicals, LPG and natural gas, as well as the generation, transportation, distribution and supply of electricity. Co. operates in more than 40 countries. Co.'s operations are divided into four segments: Upstream, Downstream, LNG and Gas Natural Fenosa.

Provider
Sabadell
Sabadell

Analysts
Virginia Romero

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