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Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Ahmed Ben Salem

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 11/15/2024

Swiss-based Accelleron was formed from the spin-off of ABB’s highly profitable turbocharger division in 2022. We view the share as a promising investment on 1/ market leadership in an attractive niche, 2/ about ~40% ROCE, 3/ conversion of ~80% of EBITDA into cash, leading to fast deleveraging, and a solid base for shareholder remuneration (75% pay out), and 4/ strong long-term visibility linked to a ~75% service share, the bulk of which is recurring. Despite an already strong stock pe...

Ahmed Ben Salem ... (+2)
  • Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Thijs Berkelder

ODDO : IEA report– a surplus and easing of geopolitical tensions pushi...

>Slowdown in demand confirmed for 2025 - The IEA has just published its monthly report in which it has marginally lifted its demand growth estimates by 60 kb/d to +920 kb/d for 2024 but maintains unchanged its 2025 estimate at +1 Mb/d. This level compares with +1.2 Mb/d on average over 2000-2019 and a record of +2 Mb/d in 2023. This slowdown can be explained by the economic slowdown and the deployment of renewable energies. Chinese demand has slowed sharply for th...

Ahmed Ben Salem ... (+2)
  • Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Thijs Berkelder

ODDO : Rapport AIE –Surplus et accalmie géopolitique pèsent sur les pr...

>Le ralentissement de la demande se confirme en 2025 - L’AIE vient de publier son rapport mensuel et révise légèrement à la hausse ses estimations de croissance de la demande de 60 kb/j à +920 kb/j pour 2024 mais les maintient inchangées à +1 Mb/j pour 2025. Ce niveau se compare à +1.2 Mb/j en moyenne en 2000-2019 et un record de +2 Mb/j en 2023. Ce ralentissement s’explique par le ralentissement économique et le déploiement des énergies renouvelables. La demande ...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 01/11/2024

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Condor Energies (CDR CN)C; Target price of C$5.80 per share: Another positive operating update – The work-overs of two new existing wells have added 441 boe/d after a combined 20 m of previously unperforated reservoir pay was accessed. The first well is producing 410 boe/d. It was previously shut-in. The second well is producing an extra 31 boe/d (+65%) and continues to clean-up. With a total cost of 100 wells on Condor’s fields includ...

Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Ahmed Ben Salem

Repsol : Q3 2024 results in line. Guidance revised down but management...

>Q3 2024 earnings 1.6% shy of the consensus expectations - Adjusted net profit for Q3 totalled € 558m (-35% q-o-q /-49% y-o-y), 1.3% above our expectations and 1.6% below the consensus (ODDO BHF: € 551m est.; consensus: 567 M€), hit by a fall in production in Libya and a collapse in refining margins. E&P and refining impacted, but improvement expected in Q4 - E&P earnings came in at € 287m, down 33% q-o-q but 2% above consensus. This underperformance ...

Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Ahmed Ben Salem

Repsol : Résultats T3 2024 en ligne. Guidances revues en baisse mais l...

>Résultats T3 1.6% inférieurs aux attentes du consensus - . Le résultat net ajusté du T3 s'est établi à 558 M€ (-35% QoQ /-49% YoY), 1.3% supérieur à nos attentes et 1.6% en dessous du consensus (ODDO BHF : 551 M€ ; consensus : 567 M€) marqué par une baisse de la production en Libye et par un effondrement des marges de raffinage.E&P et raffinage impactés mais une amélioration en vue dès le T4 - Le résultat de l’E&P ressort à 287 M€, en baisse de 33% ...

Virginia Romero
  • Virginia Romero
Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Ahmed Ben Salem

Repsol : Q3 results almost in line and confirms cash return

>Adjusted net profit 1.6% below expectations - Q3 2024 adjusted net profit came in at € 558m (-35% q-o-q/-49% y-o-y), 1.3% above our estimates and 1.6% below the consensus (ODDO BHF: € 551m; consensus: € 567m).Upstream: Q3 2024 adjusted net income came in at € 287m, in line with consensus estimates (ODDO BHF: € 239m; consensus: € 281m) with production down 6.1% at 553 kboe/d due to stoppages in Libya, lower oil prices and higher amortisations and costs.Indu...

Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Ahmed Ben Salem

Repsol : Q3 results almost in line and confirms cash return

>Adjusted net profit 1.6% below expectations - Q3 2024 adjusted net profit came in at € 558m (-35% q-o-q/-49% y-o-y), 1.3% above our estimates and 1.6% below the consensus (ODDO BHF: € 551m; consensus: € 567m).Upstream: Q3 2024 adjusted net income came in at € 287m, in line with consensus estimates (ODDO BHF: € 239m; consensus: € 281m) with production down 6.1% at 553 kboe/d due to stoppages in Libya, lower oil prices and higher amortisations and costs.Indu...

Virginia Romero
  • Virginia Romero

REPSOL: 3Q’24 RESULTS (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

3Q'24 vs. 3Q'23 Results Net Profit: € 558.0 M (-49.2% vs. -49.9% BS(e) and -48.4% consensus); 9M'24 vs. 9M'23 Results Net Profit: € 2.684 Bn (-29.7% vs. -29.9% BS(e) and -29.4% consensus);

Virginia Romero
  • Virginia Romero

REPSOL: RDOS. 3T’24 (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

Rdos. 3T'24 vs 3T'23: BDI: 558,0 M euros (-49,2% vs -49,9% BS(e) y -48,4% consenso); Rdos. 9meses'24 vs 9meses'23: BDI: 2.684 M euros (-29,7% vs -29,9% BS(e) y -29,4% consenso); L

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 21 OCTOBER + 3Q’24 RESULTS. PREVIEWS (ANÁLISIS BANCO SAB...

NEWS SUMMARY: ENDESA, IBERDROLA, REPSOL. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 3Q’24 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. IBEX unable to break through 12,000 points by the week’s end The week ended with gains on both sides of the Atlantic, where the best performance in Europe came in peripheral nations. In the US, the market is beginning to price in a...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 21 0CTUBRE + RDOS. ESPAÑA Y EUROPA 3T’24. PREVIEWS (ANÁ...

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ENDESA, IBERDROLA, REPSOL. EUROPA: SANOFI. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 3T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. Al Ibex se le atragantan los 12.000 puntos al final de la semana Semana que terminó con avances a ambos lados del Atlántico donde el mejor comportamiento...

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