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Ahmed Ben Salem ... (+2)
  • Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Thijs Berkelder

ODDO : Q1 2024 results preview – A 1% sequential increase in earnings,...

> A 1% sequential increase in earnings, the fall in gas is offset by the rise in refining margins and a favourable outlook for oil - The publication of Q1 2024 results will start on 24 April with AkerBP (see tables below) and should show a sequential increase of 1% on average. Cumulative net profit for the eight stocks covered is forecast at $ 21.1bn vs $ 20.9bn in Q4 2023 and ODDO BHF’s estimates are 3% above the consensus. We note:A slight fall in Brent of...

Ahmed Ben Salem ... (+2)
  • Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Thijs Berkelder

ODDO : Preview résultats T1 – Hausse séquentielle de 1%, outlook intac...

>Hausse séquentielle de 1% des résultats, baisse du gaz contrebalancée par la hausse des marges de raffinage et outlook favorable pour le pétrole - Les publications des résultats du T1 2024 commenceront le 24 avril avec AkerBP (voir tableau ci-après). Ils devraient marquer une légère progression séquentielle de 1% en moyenne. Le résultat net cumulé pour les huit valeurs couvertes est attendu à 21.1 Md$ vs 20.9 Md$ au T4 23 et nous sommes 3% supérieurs au consensu...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 12/04/2024

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target price of A$1.00 per share: Restarting production at Anshof – The Permanent Production Facility (PPF), with a capacity of 3,000 bbl/d of liquids, has been commissioned and the Anshof-3 well has recommenced production at a rate of 134 bbl/d with no water. The operation has been undertaken in line with expectations and within budget. The oil production rate at Anshof-3 is 16% above the rate prior to shut-in. A...

Virginia Romero
  • Virginia Romero

REPSOL: TRADING STATEMENT 1T’24 (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

En el Trading statement del 1T’24 publicado ayer no hubo sorpresas en el precio del crudo, que aun empeorando frente a 4T’23

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 11 APRIL + 1Q’24 RESULTS. PREVIEWS (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABAD...

NEWS SUMMARY: CAF, GRIFOLS, REPSOL. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 1Q’24 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. Inflation rising The surprising US inflation data led to strong widening on debt curves, which in turn brought losses on stock markets and sales of bond proxies. However, over the course of the afternoon, the recovery in banks led to sl...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 11 ABRIL + RDOS. ESPAÑA Y EUROPA 1T’24. PREVIEWS (ANÁLI...

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: CAF, GRIFOLS, REPSOL. EUROPA: SOCIÉTÉ GÉNÉRALE. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 1T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. La inflación al alza La sorpresa en los datos de inflación estadounidenses provocó fuertes repuntes en las curvas de deuda lo que llevó a pérdidas a...

Ahmed Ben Salem ... (+2)
  • Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Thijs Berkelder

ODDO : Brent scenario raised from $ 80/b to $ 85/b in a market expecte...

>Deficit accentuated by solid demand and lower supply - We are raising our scenario for the oil price by $ 5/b from $ 80/b to $ 85/b for 2024 and from $ 75/b to $ 80/b for 2025 and thereafter. This adjustment is explained by the current deficit in the market in H1 and which is likely to extend into H2 if OPEC extends its agreement until the end of the year as it did in 2023. We think that this scenario is very likely. Added to this is an increase in geopolitical risk...

Ahmed Ben Salem ... (+2)
  • Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Thijs Berkelder

ODDO : Scenario de Brent relevé de 80 à 85 $/b dans un marché attendu ...

>Un déficit accentué par une demande solide et une offre en baisse - Nous relevons notre scenario de prix du pétrole de 5 $/b pour passer de 80 à 85 $b en 2024 et de 75 à 80 $/b en 2025+. Cet ajustement s’explique par le déficit actuel sur le marché au S1 et qui risque de se prolonger sur le S2 si l’OPEP reconduit son accord jusqu’à la fin de l’année comme elle l’a fait en 2023. Ce scénario nous parait très probable. A cela s’ajoute une hausse du risque géopolitique ...

Baptiste Lebacq
  • Baptiste Lebacq

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 04/05/2024

Several themes are set to drive the 2024 proxy season, among them the change of voting policy of ISS and a tipping point for climate resolutions. It will also be the last one before the first CSRD reports. Its long-term impact on Boards could also be underestimated. A wave of appointments of specialized sustainability profiles would upset their balance. We identify the AGMs likely to be play the most decisive role for the companies in the medium term: Alstom, Teleperformance, Worldlin...

Baptiste Lebacq ... (+2)
  • Baptiste Lebacq
  • Emmanuel Matot

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 05/04/2024

Plusieurs éléments animeront les assemblées générales 2024 : changement de politique de vote d’ISS, résolutions climat à un tournant… alors que cette saison est la dernière avant les premiers rapports CSRD. Celle-ci pourrait d’ailleurs avoir un impact long terme sous-estimé sur les conseils. Une vague de nominations de profils spécialisés en durabilité bouleverserait leurs équilibres. Nous identifions les AG les plus déterminantes pour la gouvernance des sociétés à moyen terme : Alsto...

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