Report
Andrey Kuznetsov ...
  • Cole Akeson

Sberbank CIB Trade Ideas - January 27, 2020

Russian equities delivered spectacular returns in 2019 and have started 2020 on a high note. We believe the ongoing decline in interest rates and high dividend payouts will help Russian stocks to continue outperforming. In this issue of Sberbank CIB Trade Ideas we open two trade ideas and close one. > Adding X5 Retail Group. A few days ago, we added X5 to our trade ideas list. We believe that the stock's recent weakness and its underperformance versus Magnit have created a good buying opportunity. Moreover, sector fundamentals are set to improve thanks to the government's announced boost to social spending. We expect Magnit to scale back its promotions soon, with Pyaterochka picking up some of the resulting traffic outflow.> Adding Etalon Group. The company recently announced that it has applied for a listing on the Moscow Exchange. We believe this will be a major driver for the stock. The absence of a local listing is one of the reasons why Etalon has been trading at a discount to LSR Group. We expect Etalon's liquidity to get a big boost from the listing, which should grab the attention of some global investors who have been put off by the stock's low liquidity.> Closing Yandex. The stock has delivered since we opened this idea in February last year, gaining 38%. Since the triggers we had been expecting have materialized, we are closing the trade idea. We remain positive on the company's long-term fundamentals and maintain our BUY recommendation on the stock.> Past updates to our trade ideas list. Since the previous edition of this report, published at the end of last October, we have closed trade ideas on X5 Retail Group (but reopened it on January 21), QIWI, OGK-2 and Aeroflot.
Underlyings
Etalon Group (GDR)

Etalon Group is a real estate development and construction company. Co.'s principal activity is residential development in Saint-Petersburg metropolitan area and Moscow metropolitan area, the Russian Federation. Co. has three reportable segments: Residential Development, which includes construction of residential real estate including flats, built-in premises and parking places; Constructions Services, which includes construction services for third parties and for internal purpose; and Other Operations, which include selling of construction materials, construction of stand-alone premises for commercial use and various services related to sale and servicing of premises.

X5 Retail Group N.V. Sponsored GDR RegS

X5 Retail Group is a holding company. The main activity of Co. is the development and operation of grocery retail stores. Co. operates a retail chain of soft-discount, supermarket and hypermarket stores under the brand names "Pyaterochka", "Perekrestok" and "Karusel" in major population centres in Russia, including but not limited to Moscow, St. Petersburg, Nizhniy Novgorod, Rostov-on-Don, Kazan, Samara, Lipetsk, Chelyabinsk, Perm, Ekaterinburg and Kiev, Ukraine.

Yandex NV Class A

Yandex is an internet and technology company that operates an internet search engine in Russia. Co. builds intelligent products and services powered by machine learning. Co.'s products and services are based on complex, unique technologies that are not easily replicated. Co. generates substantially all of its revenues from online advertising. Co. also generates revenues from its e-commerce offerings, classifieds and e-hailing service. Co.'s businesses are organized in the following operating segments: Search and Portal; E-commerce; Taxi; Classifieds and Experimental businesses.

Provider
Sberbank
Sberbank

​Sberbank CIB Investment Research is a research firm offering equity, fixed income, economics, and strategy research. It covers analysis on all aspects of Russia’s capital markets, issues and industries. The firm analyzes trends in Russia and combines local knowledge with a global perspective. It processes macroeconomic data, market and company-specific news, stock quotes and other information for providing research reports. The firm provides details and latest prices on the most traded names and most traded paper on all segments Russian market. In strategy research, it provides thematic research, tips and descriptions of the methodology used to evaluate companies.

Analysts
Andrey Kuznetsov

Cole Akeson

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