We continue to believe that Achiko shares offer a compelling attractive growth investment opportunity. While the shares are trading close to the intrinsic value of Achiko’s existing asset portfolio, the market does not give credit to the future strategy and portfolio expansion. Should the ambitious management expectations be confirmed over the next years, we believe that Achiko is trading significantly below its intrinsic value. Therefore, we are confirming our USD 1.70 price target which is based on a discounted cash flow entity model (primary valuation method). Given an expected 65.0% upside compared to yesterday’s closing price, we maintain our Buy rating for the shares of Achiko Ltd.
Last week, Indonesian EmpatKali announced the licensing of Achiko's digital financial platform to provide after-pay services on Achiko's digital financial platform in Indonesia. EmpatKali is a "Buy Now, Pay Later" company that offers Indonesian consumers an interest-free loan for the purchase of consumer goods. This form of credit financing is particularly suitable for 85% of Indonesian Muslims, who are for religious reasons not allowed to use interest-dependent financial products. In the future, users of the EmpatKali service will be able to use Achiko's digital financial services platform as a method of payment, and users of the Achiko app will be able to access EmpatKali's after-pay services.
Under the terms of the agreement, Achiko will invest USD 0.1 million in EmpatKali in the form of a convertible bond. A conversion ratio into EmpatKali shares has not been finalized yet. The interest free convertible bond converts at a 20% discount to the next financing round of EmpatKali. After conversion, we expect Achiko’s ownership in EmpatKali to be 30-40%.
We consider the strategic acquisition of EmpatKali to be value-enhancing for Achiko. Attaching a "Buy Now, Pay Later" service will expand the range of services, from games to ecommerce and other services. Over the medium term, this should positively impact Achiko’s footprint and offer additional margin opportunities for the company.
Founded in 2010, Sphene Capital is a German based pure-play research house offering state-of-the-art research and evaluation services to European small- and mid-caps by avoiding typical conflict of interests of traditional investment banks.
As a general rule, analysts of Sphene Capital strive to understand companies better than any other analyst or investor before publishing their initiation reports. Therefore, the comprehensive initiation research reports comprise of 50-80 pages, including an extensive analysis of the value chain of the IPO candidate, its unique selling proposition, an elaborate analysis of suppliers and clients, a thorough SWOT analysis, a commercial due diligence (i. e. market and competitive analysis), an integrated financial forecast model and a profound company valuation (both DCF methodology and peer group multiples). Before publication, each of Sphene Capital’s research report will be double-checked by a fellow research colleague (“Four-eyes-principle”), ensuring highest quality and avoiding careless mistakes.
After initiation of research coverage, Sphene Capital publishes regular updates of 12-30 pages following relevant news flow from the issuer or major peers, f. ex. after acquisitions or after publication of quarterly results.
Due to Sphene Capital’s extensive experience in equity and bond research, the team has established longstanding contacts to all relevant market players, i. e. institutional investors, family offices and high net-worth individuals as well as journalists. To each of these groups, Sphene Capital’s research analysts have regular contacts during analyst and management roadshows or via daily phone calls. Finally, analysts publish articles in selected stock markets magazines and websites in which the analysts help issuers to improve their popularity on the German capital markets.
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