Report
Peter Thilo Hasler

Weiterhin mit robustem Gewinnwachstum

Nach wie vor ist die Ertragsentwicklung von Alzchem von konjunkturellen Herausforderungen geprägt, profitiert aber in ungleich stärkerem Maße von der Verschiebung des Umsatz-Mix in das hochmargige Segment Specialty Chemicals. Weil deshalb die vorgelegten Zahlen zum ersten Quartal 2025 erneut über unseren Schätzungen sowie den Consensus-Erwartungen lagen und wir davon ausgehen, dass die höhermargigen Potenziale weiterhin abgeschöpft werden können, heben wir unser aus einem dreiphasigen DCF-Entity-Modell (Base-Case-Szenario) abgeleitetes Kursziel auf EUR 133,00 von EUR 89,90 je Aktie an. Gegenüber dem letzten Schlusskurs von EUR 121,00 errechnet sich auf Sicht von 24 Monaten und ohne Einbeziehung der zwischenzeitlich erwarteten Dividenden eine erwartete Kurssteigerung der Alzchem-Aktien von 9,9%. Wir bestätigen unser Buy-Rating für die Aktien der Alzchem Group.
Underlying
AlzChem Group

AlzChem Group AG, formerly Softmatic AG, is a Germany-based group parent company for a vertically integrated producer of chemical products based on the calcium carbide/calcium cyanamide chain. The Group's operating business is divided into three segments: Specialty Chemicals, Basics & Intermediates and Other & Holding. Its products can be applied in areas, such as nutrition, renewable energy, fine chemicals, agriculture and metallurgy. The Company produces dietary supplements; epoxy resin hardeners for use in adhesives, powder coatings, printed circuit boards and composites; silicon nitride for advanced ceramics and solar wafers; technical gases; specialty fertilizer, germicide for use in pig pens, plant growth regulators and plant protection additives, among others. It also provides related services. The Company operates production sites in Germany and Sweden, a sales subsidiary in the United States and a Chinese subsidiary for the purchase of raw materials and distribution in Asia.

Provider
Sphene Capital GmbH
Sphene Capital GmbH

Founded in 2010, Sphene Capital is a German based pure-play research house offering state-of-the-art research and evaluation services to European small- and mid-caps by avoiding typical conflict of interests of traditional investment banks.

As a general rule, analysts of Sphene Capital strive to understand companies better than any other analyst or investor before publishing their initiation reports. Therefore, the comprehensive initiation research reports comprise of 50-80 pages, including an extensive analysis of the value chain of the IPO candidate, its unique selling proposition, an elaborate analysis of suppliers and clients, a thorough SWOT analysis, a commercial due diligence (i. e. market and competitive analysis), an integrated financial forecast model and a profound company valuation (both DCF methodology and peer group multiples). Before publication, each of Sphene Capital’s research report will be double-checked by a fellow research colleague (“Four-eyes-principle”), ensuring highest quality and avoiding careless mistakes.

After initiation of research coverage, Sphene Capital publishes regular updates of 12-30 pages following relevant news flow from the issuer or major peers, f. ex. after acquisitions or after publication of quarterly results.

Due to Sphene Capital’s extensive experience in equity and bond research, the team has established longstanding contacts to all relevant market players, i. e. institutional investors, family offices and high net-worth individuals as well as journalists. To each of these groups, Sphene Capital’s research analysts have regular contacts during analyst and management roadshows or via daily phone calls. Finally, analysts publish articles in selected stock markets magazines and websites in which the analysts help issuers to improve their popularity on the German capital markets.

Analysts
Peter Thilo Hasler

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