The entry of Digital Domain as a new major shareholder represents a strategically highly reasonable expansion of the business model for asknet Solutions, in our view. We expect the sale of Digital Domains VFX, VR, and virtual human technology through asknet Solutions' distribution channels to deliver the first significant sales and earnings contributions as early as next year, with increasing importance in subsequent years. Following the strong share price performance of the last year (asknet Solutions +70.3% LTM vs. DAX 4.9%), we are raising our price target which is derived from a three-stage DCF entity model to EUR 25.70 from the previous EUR 18.40 (base case scenario). In a Monte Carlo scenario analysis, in which we used 1,000 alternative sales and earnings scenarios, the values of equity in the best-case and worst-case scenarios are EUR 20.20 and EUR 28.80 per share, respectively. On the basis of yesterday's closing price of EUR 17.20, our new price target gives a price potential of 49.4% over a period of 24 months. We are confirming our Buy rating for asknet Solutions AG shares.
Nexway AG, formerly asknet AG, is a Germany-based company engaged in the e-commerce and payment market. The Company provides a subscription-based platform for the monetization of intellectual property, principally for entertainment, games and security software companies. Its business activities are divided into two business units: Academics and e-Commerce Solutions. The Academics business unit provides a range of software solutions and services for the procurement, allocation and administration of software and hardware in research and academia. The e-Commerce Solutions business unit focuses on development and operating online shops worldwide for manufacturers of digital and physical products. The Company sells its products in more than 190 countries around the world.
Founded in 2010, Sphene Capital is a German based pure-play research house offering state-of-the-art research and evaluation services to European small- and mid-caps by avoiding typical conflict of interests of traditional investment banks.
As a general rule, analysts of Sphene Capital strive to understand companies better than any other analyst or investor before publishing their initiation reports. Therefore, the comprehensive initiation research reports comprise of 50-80 pages, including an extensive analysis of the value chain of the IPO candidate, its unique selling proposition, an elaborate analysis of suppliers and clients, a thorough SWOT analysis, a commercial due diligence (i. e. market and competitive analysis), an integrated financial forecast model and a profound company valuation (both DCF methodology and peer group multiples). Before publication, each of Sphene Capital’s research report will be double-checked by a fellow research colleague (“Four-eyes-principle”), ensuring highest quality and avoiding careless mistakes.
After initiation of research coverage, Sphene Capital publishes regular updates of 12-30 pages following relevant news flow from the issuer or major peers, f. ex. after acquisitions or after publication of quarterly results.
Due to Sphene Capital’s extensive experience in equity and bond research, the team has established longstanding contacts to all relevant market players, i. e. institutional investors, family offices and high net-worth individuals as well as journalists. To each of these groups, Sphene Capital’s research analysts have regular contacts during analyst and management roadshows or via daily phone calls. Finally, analysts publish articles in selected stock markets magazines and websites in which the analysts help issuers to improve their popularity on the German capital markets.
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