Report
Peter Thilo Hasler

H1/2022 in-line with our expectations

Following the publication of the H1/2022-report, we are slightly adjusting our revenue and earnings forecasts. After refreshing the valuation-relevant risk parameters, we calculate an unchanged target price of EUR 6.70 from our three-stage DCF entity model (base case scenario). In a Monte Carlo analysis we used alternative sales and earnings scenarios and calculated equity values in a range between EUR 67.3m (10% quantile) and EUR 96.9m (90% quantile), which translates into price targets between EUR 5.30 and EUR 7.60 per share (fully diluted), respectively. An alternative economic profit model supports the results of the DCF model, with price targets between EUR 5.20 (based on the economic profit of the year 2025e) and EUR 7.40 (economic profit 2026e, secondary valuation methods). Based on a 24-month expected upside potential of 311.0, we confirm our Buy rating for the shares of Ikonisys SA.

Provider
Sphene Capital GmbH
Sphene Capital GmbH

Founded in 2010, Sphene Capital is a German based pure-play research house offering state-of-the-art research and evaluation services to European small- and mid-caps by avoiding typical conflict of interests of traditional investment banks.

As a general rule, analysts of Sphene Capital strive to understand companies better than any other analyst or investor before publishing their initiation reports. Therefore, the comprehensive initiation research reports comprise of 50-80 pages, including an extensive analysis of the value chain of the IPO candidate, its unique selling proposition, an elaborate analysis of suppliers and clients, a thorough SWOT analysis, a commercial due diligence (i. e. market and competitive analysis), an integrated financial forecast model and a profound company valuation (both DCF methodology and peer group multiples). Before publication, each of Sphene Capital’s research report will be double-checked by a fellow research colleague (“Four-eyes-principle”), ensuring highest quality and avoiding careless mistakes.

After initiation of research coverage, Sphene Capital publishes regular updates of 12-30 pages following relevant news flow from the issuer or major peers, f. ex. after acquisitions or after publication of quarterly results.

Due to Sphene Capital’s extensive experience in equity and bond research, the team has established longstanding contacts to all relevant market players, i. e. institutional investors, family offices and high net-worth individuals as well as journalists. To each of these groups, Sphene Capital’s research analysts have regular contacts during analyst and management roadshows or via daily phone calls. Finally, analysts publish articles in selected stock markets magazines and websites in which the analysts help issuers to improve their popularity on the German capital markets.

Analysts
Peter Thilo Hasler

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