Im dritten Quartal 2018 hat sich das Marktumfeld für Surteco weiter verschlechtert, so dass eine neuerliche Anpassung unserer Umsatz- und Ertragserwartungen erforderlich ist. Wir stufen die Nachfrageschwäche seitens der europäischen Möbel- und Bauindustrie allerdings als vorübergehend ein und halten an unserer langfristigen Erwartung fest, wonach es Surteco gelingen wird, die Profitabilität im Zuge der Wachstumsstrategie Surteco 2025+ dauerhaft zu erhöhen. Nach der Senkung unserer kurz- bis mittelfristigen Ertragserwartungen nehmen wir indes das aus einem dreistufigen DCF-Entity-Modell abgeleitete Kursziel auf EUR 35,60 von bislang EUR 37,00 je Aktie (Base-Case-Szenario) zurück. Die Monte-Carlo-Simulation ergibt in einem Bear-Case-Szenario einen Wert des Eigenkapitals von EUR 18,90 und in einem Bull-Case-Szenario einen Wert von EUR 50,70 je Aktie. Aus einem Dividendendiskontierungsmodell errechnen wir ein mittelfristiges Kursziel von EUR 40,50 je Aktie. Nachdem nach u. E. die für dieses Jahr erwartete Dividendenrendite von 3,7% kursstützend wirken sollte, bestätigen wir angesichts einer von uns im Base-Case-Szenario erwarteten Kursperformance von 32,3% unser Buy-Rating für die Aktien der Surteco Group SE.
Surteco Group SE, formerly SURTECO SE, is a Germany-based developer, designer, producer and marketer of surface materials based on paper and plastics. The Company operates through two segments: Paper and Plastics. The Paper segment comprises the production and sale of paper-based edge bandings, finish foils, impregnates, release paper and decor papers, and the Plastics segment includes the production and sale of thermoplastic edgings, foils, roller shutter systems, technical extrusions (profiles), skirting, and extrusions for flooring wholesalers, home improvement and do-it-yourself stores. The Company markets products under the Surteco Decor, Canplast, Dakor and Praktikus brands, among others. It operates approximately 20 production and sales locations in Europe, the Americas, Asia and Australia.
Founded in 2010, Sphene Capital is a German based pure-play research house offering state-of-the-art research and evaluation services to European small- and mid-caps by avoiding typical conflict of interests of traditional investment banks.
As a general rule, analysts of Sphene Capital strive to understand companies better than any other analyst or investor before publishing their initiation reports. Therefore, the comprehensive initiation research reports comprise of 50-80 pages, including an extensive analysis of the value chain of the IPO candidate, its unique selling proposition, an elaborate analysis of suppliers and clients, a thorough SWOT analysis, a commercial due diligence (i. e. market and competitive analysis), an integrated financial forecast model and a profound company valuation (both DCF methodology and peer group multiples). Before publication, each of Sphene Capital’s research report will be double-checked by a fellow research colleague (“Four-eyes-principle”), ensuring highest quality and avoiding careless mistakes.
After initiation of research coverage, Sphene Capital publishes regular updates of 12-30 pages following relevant news flow from the issuer or major peers, f. ex. after acquisitions or after publication of quarterly results.
Due to Sphene Capital’s extensive experience in equity and bond research, the team has established longstanding contacts to all relevant market players, i. e. institutional investors, family offices and high net-worth individuals as well as journalists. To each of these groups, Sphene Capital’s research analysts have regular contacts during analyst and management roadshows or via daily phone calls. Finally, analysts publish articles in selected stock markets magazines and websites in which the analysts help issuers to improve their popularity on the German capital markets.
Unfortunately, this report is not available for the investor type or country you selected.
Browse all ResearchPool reportsReport is subscription only.
Thank you, your report is ready.
Thank you, your report is ready.