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EUR 12.20 For Business Accounts Only

Oil & Gas Development (OGDC): 3QFY18 EPS Rs4.7, +15% YoY (+2% QoQ); DPS Rs 2.75/share (In-line with expectations)

  • OGDC reported earnings of Rs20bn (EPS Rs4.7/share) in 3QFY18, up 15% YoY, mainly due to higher sales and considerable increase in other income. The company also announced cash dividend of Rs2.75/share.
  • The company’s net sales were up 14% YoY during the outgoing quarter thanks to 1) increase in Arab Light oil prices, up 24% YoY and 2) PKR devaluation against the greenback, providing support to dollar linked revenues.
  • However, oil production posted around 9% YoY decline in 3QFY18 where production flows from Nashpa field (30% of OGDC’s oil production) fell 24%. We attribute this to natural depletion of the field and lower uplift from refineries.
  • The company booked exploration charges of Rs3.8bn, up 74% YoY during the outgoing quarter, mainly on account of dry well cost, we believe.
  • Other income and share of profits from associates which were up  41% and 54% YoY, respectively, supported the company’s bottom-line.
  • Increase in other income was mainly on the back of higher interest income and exchange gain, while improvement in profitability of Mari Petroleum (MARI) supported profits from associates, we believe.
  • We flag 1) volatility in international oil prices, 2) lower than expected hydrocarbon production and 3) significant exploration and development cost as key risks for OGDC.
Underlying
Oil & Gas Development Co. Ltd.

Oil and Gas Development Company is a petroleum exploration and production (E&P) company in the Pakistan oil and gas sector. Co.'s principal activity is to explore, develop, produce and sell oil and gas resources and related activities. Co. also manufactures Gas, Liquefied Petroleum Gas, Crude Oil, and Sulphur. Co.'s major fields contributing in the aforesaid production of crude oil include Nashpa, Kunnar/KPD, Pasakhi, Sinjhoro and Rajian and for gas include Qadirpur, Uch, KPD, Nashpa and Dakhni. Co. carries out exploration and development activities on its own as well as in joint ventures with other oil companies.

Provider
Topline Securities Limited
Topline Securities Limited

Topline Securities is one of the fastest-growing brokerage houses in Pakistan. It has strong Equity Brokerage, Economic/ Equity Research, Commodity Trading and Corporate Finance & Advisory functions.

Topline Securities has been endowed with numerous awards by renowned international financial organizations. The highlights of which consists of the award for ‘Best Local Brokerage House of Pakistan’ by Asiamoney Brokers Poll (the largest Asia-focused equity services provider poll) in 2016 and ‘Best Equity Brokerage House’ by CFA Society Pakistan in 2015.

Previously, Topline Securities held the title for ‘Best Brokerage House’ for 4 consecutive years (2011-2014) by Asiamoney Brokers Poll. Other awards include the ‘Best Salesperson’ award by Asiamoney for 6 consecutive years (2011-2016), the ‘Arabia Fast Growth 500’ award and ‘Pakistan Fast Growth 100’ award in 2012 and 2013 by AllWorld Network.

JCR-VIS, a credit rating agency providing independent rating services in Pakistan has assigned initial rating of “A-2” for short term and “A” for long term to Topline Securities. Topline Securities is registered as Underwriter, Book Runner and Research Entity with Securities & Exchange Commission of Pakistan (SECP).

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