Report
Valens Research

ADNT - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2020 04 20

Adient plc (ADNT:USA) currently trades at a material discount to UAFRS-based (Uniform) assets, with a 0.6x Uniform P/B. At these levels, the market has muted expectations for the firm, and management may be concerned about their AYM operations, seasonality, and their investments

Specifically, management may be exaggerating the capabilities of their AYM technical center, their ability to expand AYM's scope into international markets, and the success of the Tesla Model 3 launch. Moreover, they may lack confidence in their ability to sustain Q1 2020 results, reduce SG&A spending, and meet equity income guidance. Furthermore, they may lack confidence in their ability to monetize non-core business investments, and they may be downplaying concerns about the lumpiness of commercial settlements and their near-term debt maturities
Underlying
Adient plc

Provider
Valens Research
Valens Research

In 2009, just as the dust was settling from the last major equity and credit market crises, we launched a boutique research firm with the intention of breaking Wall Street’s biases and broken incentives:

  • GAAP and IFRS have failed to provide rules for reliable financial statement reporting
  • Stock analyst recommendations are not grounded in disciplined financial analysis
  • Credit agencies have been set up to grossly fail in their responsibilities to investors and the public markets
  • Utter lack of willingness of major research firms to employ the the most advanced forensic analysis available

We sought to provide investors and company analysts with a source of information that changed all that.
Many years later, our business model remains because little has changed on Wall Street.

  • Corporate credit ratings remain years behind the fundamental underpinnings of company performance
  • Stock analysts continue to make recommendations with deeply inherent biases
  • Research firms have failed to break down the walls between credit, equity, and macroeconomic research
  • The governing accounting bodies have created more leeway for mis-estimates and mis-classifications as financials have become unwieldy and overwhelming

The integrity of Valens Research is founded in our disciplined processes and analytics. No “star” analysts. No corporate advisory relationships. No-nonsense opinions and recommendations.

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Valens Research

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