Report
Valens Research

ADS - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2021 01 28

Alliance Data Systems Corporation (ADS:USA) currently trades at a historical low relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) earnings, with a 10.4x Uniform P/E. At these levels, the market has bearish expectations for the firm, but management is excited about their growth verticals and Comenity card, and confident about their Fiserv partnership

Specifically, management generated excitement markers when saying they are ramping up their marketing spend in their growth verticals in Q4 and that their Comenity card is attracting millennials. In addition, they are confident about the potential of Fiserv as a leading-edge fintech investment and that their partners will steer customers to their products
Underlying
Alliance Data Systems Corporation

Alliance Data Systems is a provider of data-driven marketing and loyalty solutions. The company operates in two segments: LoyaltyOne? and Card Services. LoyaltyOne provides coalition and short-term loyalty programs through the Canadian AIR MILES? Reward Program and BrandLoyalty Group B.V. Card Services encompasses credit card processing, billing and payment processing, customer care and collections services for private label retailers as well as private label and co-brand retail credit card and loan receivables financing, including securitization and other funding of certain credit card and loan receivables that it underwrites from its private label and co-brand retail credit card programs.

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Valens Research
Valens Research

In 2009, just as the dust was settling from the last major equity and credit market crises, we launched a boutique research firm with the intention of breaking Wall Street’s biases and broken incentives:

  • GAAP and IFRS have failed to provide rules for reliable financial statement reporting
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We sought to provide investors and company analysts with a source of information that changed all that.
Many years later, our business model remains because little has changed on Wall Street.

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