Report
Valens Research

MO - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2019 02 22

Altria Group, Inc. (MO:USA) currently trades well below recent averages relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) Earnings, with an 11.1x Uniform P/E, implying bearish expectations for the firm. Moreover, management may have concerns about tobacco demand, smokeless product growth, and regulatory headwinds

Specifically, management may be concerned about losing adult smokers to other tobacco products, and may be exaggerating growth opportunities for e-vapor and cannabis. Furthermore, they may also be exaggerating their expected return on JUUL, and may be overstating their interest in raising the legal age of tobacco. Moreover, they may be concerned about e-vapor regulations and headwinds from gas price volatility. Finally, management may be concerned about premium cigarette demand
Underlying
Altria Group Inc

Altria Group is a holding company. The company's subsidiaries include: Philip Morris USA Inc., which is engaged in the manufacture and sale of cigarettes; John Middleton Co., which is engaged in the manufacture and sale of machine-made cigars and pipe tobacco; Sherman Group Holdings, LLC and its subsidiaries, which are engaged in the manufacture and sale of cigarettes and the sale of cigars; and UST LLC, which through its subsidiaries, including U.S. Smokeless Tobacco Company LLC and Ste. Michelle Wine Estates Ltd., is engaged in the manufacture and sale of smokeless tobacco products and wine. The products of the company's tobacco subsidiaries include smokeable tobacco products and machine-made cigars.

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Valens Research
Valens Research

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