Report
Valens Research

ASGN - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2021 12 01

ASGN Incorporated (ASGN) currently trades near corporate yet above historical averages relative to Uniform earnings, with a 21.3x Uniform P/E (Fwd. V/E').

At these levels, markets are pricing in expectations for Uniform ROA to maintain 36% levels, accompanied by 7% Uniform asset growth.

Meanwhile, analysts expect Uniform ROA to expand to 41%, accompanied by 2% Uniform asset shrinkage.

Given the firm's strong economic moat and secular growth drivers, there is potential for stronger-than-priced-in performance.

If the company can capitalize on its tailwinds and strategy, it could drive 55% Uniform ROA and 12% Uniform asset growth going forward, which would imply a stock price closer to $251, representing significant potential equity upside for the firm.

However, the firm's most recent earnings call suggests management may have concerns about margins, growth, and M&A.
Underlying
ASGN Inc

ASGN provides information technology (IT) and other services in the technology, digital, creative, engineering and life sciences fields across commercial and government sectors. The company's segments are: Apex, which provides technical, digital, creative, scientific and engineering personnel for contract, contract-to-hire, and permanent placement positions to clients across the United States and Canada; Oxford, which provides staffing and permanent placement services in select skill and geographic markets in the United States and Europe; and ECS, which delivers solutions in cloud, cybersecurity, artificial intelligence, machine learning, application and IT modernization, science and engineering.

Provider
Valens Research
Valens Research

In 2009, just as the dust was settling from the last major equity and credit market crises, we launched a boutique research firm with the intention of breaking Wall Street’s biases and broken incentives:

  • GAAP and IFRS have failed to provide rules for reliable financial statement reporting
  • Stock analyst recommendations are not grounded in disciplined financial analysis
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  • Utter lack of willingness of major research firms to employ the the most advanced forensic analysis available

We sought to provide investors and company analysts with a source of information that changed all that.
Many years later, our business model remains because little has changed on Wall Street.

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  • The governing accounting bodies have created more leeway for mis-estimates and mis-classifications as financials have become unwieldy and overwhelming

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Valens Research

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