Report
Valens Research

Valens Equity Insights and Inflections - 2020 03 17

SNX currently trades below corporate averages relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) Earnings, with a 17.4x Uniform P/E. At these levels, the market is pricing in expectations for Uniform ROA to fall from 12% in 2018 to 6% in 2023, accompanied by 13% Uniform Asset growth going forward. However, analysts have more bullish expectations, projecting Uniform ROA to expand to 13% by 2020, accompanied by 11% Uniform Asset growth. Meanwhile, management is confident about their Hyve revenue targets, EPS guidance, and the benefits of their acquisitions to their client base. Current valuations appear to be pricing in overly bearish expectations for SNX, and should the firm just maintain profitability near current levels, as positive management sentiment and analyst expectations suggest, significant upside would be warranted.

IART Q3 2019 Embedded Expectations Analysis – Market expectations are for Uniform ROA compression, but management is confident about organic growth, orthopedics, and their guidance

TMO Q4 2019 Embedded Expectations Analysis – Market expectations are for declining Uniform ROA, but management is excited about their deals, and confident about their performance and positioning

UAL Q3 2019 Embedded Expectations Analysis – Market expectations are for Uniform ROA to decline, but management is confident about their credit card program, growth, and fleet launch
SNX, IART, TMO, UAL, BLL, CHRW, CSGP, DISC.A, EBAY, KR, MSFT, NUAN, RAD, SAIC, SKT, SWKS, TXN, UNH, WDC, WEN
Underlyings
Ball Corporation

Ball supplies metal packaging to the beverage, personal care and household products industries. The company provides aerospace and other technologies and services. The company's main product line is aluminum beverage containers. The company also produces aerosol containers, extruded aluminum aerosol containers and aluminum slugs. The company's segments are: beverage packaging, North and Central America, beverage packaging, South America, and beverage packaging, Europe, all of which are engaged in manufacturing and selling aluminum beverage containers; and aerospace, which manufactures and sells aerospace and other related products and provides services used in the defense, civil space and commercial space industries.

C.H. Robinson Worldwide Inc.

Robinson (C.H.) Worldwide is a third party logistics company. The company provides freight transportation services and logistics solutions to companies. The company's segments are: North American Surface Transportation, which provides freight transportation services across North America through a network of offices; and Global Forwarding, which provides global logistics services through an international network of offices and also contracts with independent agents; and All Other and Corporate, which includes Robinson Fresh? that provides sourcing services including the buying, selling, and marketing of fresh fruits, vegetables, and other perishable items, and managed services that provides Managed TMS?.

COSTAR GROUP INC

CoStar Group provides information, analytics and online marketplace services to the commercial real estate and related business community through its database of commercial real estate information covering the U.S., the U.K., and parts of Canada, Spain, Germany and France. The company provides online marketplaces for commercial real estate, apartment rentals, lands for sale and businesses for sale. The company operates within two operating segments, North America and International, and its services are distributed to its clients under subscription-based license agreements that renew automatically, a majority of which have a term of one year.

Discovery Inc. Class A

Discovery, through its subsidiaries, is a media company that provides content across distribution platforms, including pay-television, free-to-air and broadcast television, and direct-to-consumer subscription products. The company's portfolio of networks includes nonfiction television brands such as Discovery Channel, HGTV, Food Network, TLC, Animal Planet, Science Channel, and MotorTrend . The company's portfolio includes Eurosport, a sports entertainment provider. The company classifies its operations in two segments: U.S. Networks, consisting of domestic television networks and digital content services, and International Networks, consisting of international television networks and digital content services.

EBay Inc.

eBay is a global commerce provider, which includes its Marketplace, StubHub and Classifieds platforms. The company's Marketplace platforms include its online marketplace located at www.ebay.com, its localized counterparts and the eBay suite of mobile apps. The company's StubHub platforms include its online ticket platform located at www.stubhub.com, its localized counterparts and the StubHub mobile apps. These platforms connect fans with their favorite sporting events, shows and artists and enable them to buy and sell tickets whenever and wherever they want. The company's Classifieds platforms include a collection of brands such as mobile.de, Kijiji, Gumtree, Marktplaats, eBay Kleinanzeigen and others.

Integra LifeSciences Holdings Corporation

Integra LifeSciences Holdings is a medical devices company engaged in the development, manufacturing, and marketing of surgical implants and medical instruments. The company manufactures and sells its products in the following two reportable business segments: Codman Specialty Surgical, which includes technologies in dural repair, ultrasonic tissue ablation, intracranial cranial pressure monitoring, hydrocephalus management, and cranial stabilization systems; and Orthopedics and Tissue Technologies, which focus on addressing soft tissue, nerve, and tendon repairs as well as reconstruction in the hand, wrist, elbow, shoulder, ankle and foot.

Kroger Co.

Kroger operates as a retailer. The company also manufacture and process some of the food for sale in its supermarkets. Supermarkets are operated under one of the following formats: combination food and drug stores (combo stores); multi-department stores; marketplace stores; or price impact warehouses. The combo stores provide food and organic sections, pharmacies, general merchandise, pet centers and perishables such as seafood and organic produce. Marketplace provide grocery, pharmacy and health and beauty care departments as well as perishable offering and general merchandise area that includes apparel, home goods and toys.

Microsoft Corporation

Microsoft is a technology company. The company develops and supports software, services, devices, and solutions. The company provides an array of services, including cloud-based solutions as well as solution support and consulting services. The company also delivers relevant online advertising. The company's products include operating systems; cross-device productivity applications; server applications; business solution applications; desktop and server management tools; software development tools; and video games. The company also designs, manufactures, and sells devices, including personal computers, tablets, gaming and entertainment consoles, other devices, and related accessories.

Nuance Communications Inc.

Nuance Communications provides conversational artificial intelligence (AI). The company provides its customers automated speech recognition, natural language understanding capabilities, dialog and information management, biometric speaker authentication, text-to-speech, and domain knowledge, along with services and implementation support. The company's segments are: healthcare, which provides intelligent systems that support approach to clinical documentation; enterprise, which provides AI-powered intelligent customer engagement solutions and services; automotive, which provides assistants and connected services for cars; and other, which includes the company's Subscriber Revenue Services and Devices businesses.

Rite Aid Corporation

Rite Aid is a pharmacy retail healthcare company. The company's Retail Pharmacy segment sells brand and generic prescription drugs, as well as an assortment of front-end products including health and beauty aids, personal care products, seasonal merchandise, and a private brand product line. The company's Pharmacy Services segment provides pharmacy benefit management (PBM) options through its EnvisionRxOptions and MedTrak PBMs, respectively. EnvisionRxOptions also provides mail-order and specialty pharmacy services through EnvisionPharmacies; a claims adjudication software platform in Laker Software; and a national Medicare Part D prescription drug plan through its EnvisionRx Plus product offering.

Science Applications International Corp.

Science Applications International provides technical, engineering and enterprise information technology (IT) services. The company provides engineering, systems integration and information technology offerings for government projects and provides a range of services with an emphasis on differentiated technology services. The company's offerings include: engineering; technology and equipment platform integration; maintenance of ground and maritime systems; logistics; training and simulation; operation and program support services; and end-to-end services spanning the design, development, integration, deployment, management and operations, sustainment and security of its customers' entire IT infrastructure.

Skyworks Solutions Inc.

Skyworks Solutions is a provider of analog semiconductors that connect people, places, and things, spanning a number of applications within the aerospace, automotive, broadband, cellular infrastructure, connected home, industrial, medical, military, smartphone, tablet and wearable markets. The company's product portfolio consists of various solutions, including: amplifiers, antenna tuners, attenuators, circulators/isolators, wireless analog system on chip, direct current (DC)/DC converters, demodulators, detectors, diodes, directional couplers, diversity receive modules, filters, front-end modules, hybrid, light emitting diode drivers, low noise amplifiers, mixers, and modulators.

Tanger Factory Outlet Centers Inc.

Tanger Factory Outlet Centers is a self-administered and self-managed real estate investment trust, which focuses on developing, acquiring, owning, operating and managing outlet shopping centers. The company's outlet centers and other assets are held by, and all of its operations are conducted by, Tanger Properties Limited Partnership and subsidiaries (Operating Partnership). The company owns the majority of the units of partnership interest issued by the Operating Partnership through its two wholly-owned subsidiaries, Tanger GP Trust and Tanger LP Trust. Tanger GP Trust controls the Operating Partnership as its sole general partner. Tanger LP Trust holds a limited partnership interest.

TD SYNNEX CORP

Synnex is a business process services company, providing a range of distribution, logistics and integration services for the technology industry and providing outsourced services focused on customer engagement to a range of enterprises. The company's segments are: Technology Solutions, which distributes peripherals, information technologysystems including data center server and storage solutions, system components, software, networking, communications and security equipment; and Concentrix, which provides a portfolio of solutions and business services focused on customer engagement, process optimization, technology innovation, front and back-office automation and business transformation to clients.

Texas Instruments Incorporated

Texas Instruments designs and makes semiconductors that it sells to electronics designers and manufacturers. The company has two reportable segments: Analog and Embedded Processing. The company's analog semiconductors change signals, such as sound, temperature, pressure or images to a stream of digital data. The company's analog segment primary product lines includes: power, signal chain, and high volume. The company's embedded processors are designed to handle specific tasks and can be optimized for various combinations of performance, power and cost, depending on the application. The company's embedded processing segment primary product lines includes: connected microcontrollers and processors.

Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc.

Thermo Fisher Scientific is engaged in serving science. The company's segments include: Life Sciences Solutions, which provides reagents, instruments and consumables used in biological and medical research, discovery and production of new drugs and vaccines as well as diagnosis of disease; Analytical Instruments, which provides instruments, consumables, software and services that are used for a range of applications in the laboratory, on the production line and in the field; and Specialty Diagnostics, which provides diagnostic test kits, reagents, culture media, instruments and associated products for customers in healthcare, clinical, pharmaceutical, industrial, and food safety laboratories.

United Airlines Holdings Inc.

United Airlines Holdings is a holding company and its principal, wholly-owned subsidiary is United Airlines, Inc. (United). The company is engaged in the transportation of people and cargo throughout North America and to destinations in Asia, Europe, Africa, the Pacific, the Middle East and Latin America. The company, through United and its regional carriers, operates flights to airports, with its hubs at Newark Liberty International Airport, Chicago O'Hare International Airport, Denver International Airport, George Bush Intercontinental Airport, Los Angeles International Airport, A.B. Won Pat International Airport, San Francisco International Airport and Washington Dulles International Airport.

UnitedHealth Group Incorporated

UnitedHealth Group is a health care company. The company has four reportable segments across its two business platforms, UnitedHealthcare and Optum: UnitedHealthcare, which provides health care benefits to an array of customers and markets through its UnitedHealthcare Employer & Individual, UnitedHealthcare Medicare & Retirement, UnitedHealthcare Community & State and UnitedHealthcare Global; OptumHealth, which serves the physical, emotional and health-related financial needs of individuals; OptumInsight, which provides services, technology and health care knowledge to main participants in the health care industry; and OptumRx, which provides pharmacy care services and programs.

Wendy's Company

The Wendy's is a holding company. The company's subsidiary, Wendy's Restaurants, LLC, is the parent company of Wendy's International, LLC (Wendy's), which is the owner and franchisor of the Wendy's? restaurant system in the U.S. Wendy's is a quick-service restaurant company in the hamburger sandwich segment. Each Wendy's restaurant provides a menu featuring hamburger sandwiches and filet of chicken breast sandwiches. Wendy's menu also includes chicken nuggets, chili, french fries, baked potatoes, salads, soft drinks, Frosty? desserts and kids' meals. In addition, the restaurants sell a variety of promotional products.Wendy's also provides breakfast in some restaurants in the U.S.

Western Digital Corporation

Western Digital is a developer, manufacturer, and provider of data storage devices and solutions. The company's portfolio of technology and products address the following markets: Client Devices, which consist of hard disk drives (HDDs) and solid state drives (SSDs) for computing devices, flash-based embedded storage products, and flash-based memory wafers and components; Data Center Devices and Solutions, which consist of enterprise HDDs and enterprise SSDs, data center software and system solutions; and Client Solutions, which consist of HDDs and SSDs embedded into external storage products and removable flash-based products, such as cards, universal serial bus flash drives and wireless drives.

Provider
Valens Research
Valens Research

In 2009, just as the dust was settling from the last major equity and credit market crises, we launched a boutique research firm with the intention of breaking Wall Street’s biases and broken incentives:

  • GAAP and IFRS have failed to provide rules for reliable financial statement reporting
  • Stock analyst recommendations are not grounded in disciplined financial analysis
  • Credit agencies have been set up to grossly fail in their responsibilities to investors and the public markets
  • Utter lack of willingness of major research firms to employ the the most advanced forensic analysis available

We sought to provide investors and company analysts with a source of information that changed all that.
Many years later, our business model remains because little has changed on Wall Street.

  • Corporate credit ratings remain years behind the fundamental underpinnings of company performance
  • Stock analysts continue to make recommendations with deeply inherent biases
  • Research firms have failed to break down the walls between credit, equity, and macroeconomic research
  • The governing accounting bodies have created more leeway for mis-estimates and mis-classifications as financials have become unwieldy and overwhelming

The integrity of Valens Research is founded in our disciplined processes and analytics. No “star” analysts. No corporate advisory relationships. No-nonsense opinions and recommendations.

Analysts
Valens Research

Other Reports on these Companies
Other Reports from Valens Research

ResearchPool Subscriptions

Get the most out of your insights

Get in touch