Report
Valens Research

BAH - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2021 09 16

Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation (BAH:USA) currently trades below corporate averages relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) earnings, with a 19.1x Uniform P/E. At these levels, the market is pricing in bearish expectations for the firm, and management may be concerned about revenue growth, the launch of NextGen, and opportunities from the Liberty IT acquisition.

Specifically, management may have concerns about the launch of their NextGen financial system, the scope of artificial intelligence contracts, and progress on their cybersecurity program. In addition, they may lack confidence in their ability to meet revenue growth targets and create near and long-term value for investors. Finally, they may be overstating the leading-edge technology and pipeline opportunities acquired from their Liberty IT acquisition.
Underlying
Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation Class A

Booz Allen Hamilton Holding is a holding company. The company provides management and technology consulting, analytics, engineering, digital solutions, mission operations, and cyber knowledge to U.S. and international governments, corporations, and non-profit organizations. The company's services are: Consulting, which focuses on solving client problems and developing mission-oriented solutions; Analytics, which includes decision analytics, automation, and data science solutions; Digital Solutions, which develops, designs, and implements solutions; Engineering, which delivers engineering services and solutions; and Cyber, which focuses on active prevention, detection, and cost effectiveness.

Provider
Valens Research
Valens Research

In 2009, just as the dust was settling from the last major equity and credit market crises, we launched a boutique research firm with the intention of breaking Wall Street’s biases and broken incentives:

  • GAAP and IFRS have failed to provide rules for reliable financial statement reporting
  • Stock analyst recommendations are not grounded in disciplined financial analysis
  • Credit agencies have been set up to grossly fail in their responsibilities to investors and the public markets
  • Utter lack of willingness of major research firms to employ the the most advanced forensic analysis available

We sought to provide investors and company analysts with a source of information that changed all that.
Many years later, our business model remains because little has changed on Wall Street.

  • Corporate credit ratings remain years behind the fundamental underpinnings of company performance
  • Stock analysts continue to make recommendations with deeply inherent biases
  • Research firms have failed to break down the walls between credit, equity, and macroeconomic research
  • The governing accounting bodies have created more leeway for mis-estimates and mis-classifications as financials have become unwieldy and overwhelming

The integrity of Valens Research is founded in our disciplined processes and analytics. No “star” analysts. No corporate advisory relationships. No-nonsense opinions and recommendations.

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Valens Research

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