Report
Valens Research

CAH - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2021 07 12

Cardinal Health, Inc. (CAH:USA) currently trades near historical lows relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) earnings, with a 14.6x Uniform P/E. At these levels, the market is pricing in expectations for profitability to remain weak, and management may have concerns about strategy execution, acute script recovery, and the sustainability of COVID-19 testing tailwinds.

Valens' qualitative analysis of the firm's Q3 2021 earnings call highlights that management may lack confidence in their ability to meet their revised EPS guidance, execute their strategic priorities, and use stockpile-as-a-service to meet customer inventory needs. In addition, they may have concerns about the pace of recovery of acute script levels and elective procedure volumes. Furthermore, management may lack confidence in their ability to improve their self-manufacturing capabilities and expand their patient network. Moreover, they may be concerned about the sustainability of COVID-19 testing product demand, the business impact of a light flu season, and their Cordis sale.
Underlying
Cardinal Health Inc.

Cardinal Health is a healthcare services and products company providing customized solutions for hospitals, healthcare systems, pharmacies, ambulatory surgery centers, clinical laboratories and physician offices. The company's segments include: Pharmaceutical and Medical. The company's Pharmaceutical segment distributes branded and generic pharmaceutical, specialty pharmaceutical and over-the-counter healthcare and consumer products in the United States. The company's Medical segment manufactures, sources and distributes Cardinal Health branded medical, surgical and laboratory products, which are sold in the United States, Canada, Europe, Asia and other markets.

Provider
Valens Research
Valens Research

In 2009, just as the dust was settling from the last major equity and credit market crises, we launched a boutique research firm with the intention of breaking Wall Street’s biases and broken incentives:

  • GAAP and IFRS have failed to provide rules for reliable financial statement reporting
  • Stock analyst recommendations are not grounded in disciplined financial analysis
  • Credit agencies have been set up to grossly fail in their responsibilities to investors and the public markets
  • Utter lack of willingness of major research firms to employ the the most advanced forensic analysis available

We sought to provide investors and company analysts with a source of information that changed all that.
Many years later, our business model remains because little has changed on Wall Street.

  • Corporate credit ratings remain years behind the fundamental underpinnings of company performance
  • Stock analysts continue to make recommendations with deeply inherent biases
  • Research firms have failed to break down the walls between credit, equity, and macroeconomic research
  • The governing accounting bodies have created more leeway for mis-estimates and mis-classifications as financials have become unwieldy and overwhelming

The integrity of Valens Research is founded in our disciplined processes and analytics. No “star” analysts. No corporate advisory relationships. No-nonsense opinions and recommendations.

Analysts
Valens Research

Other Reports on these Companies
Other Reports from Valens Research

ResearchPool Subscriptions

Get the most out of your insights

Get in touch