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Valens Research

CHD - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2021 09 30

Church & Dwight Co., Inc. (CHD:USA) currently trades near historical highs relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) earnings, with a 25.2x Uniform P/E. At these levels, the market is pricing in bullish expectations for the firm, but management may have concerns about supply chain constraints, their pricing strategy, and EPS growth.

Specifically, management may have concerns about the impact of inflation on gross margin guidance, rising costs of cartons and corrugate, and further supply constraints for raw packaging materials. In addition, they may lack confidence in their ability to meet adjusted EPS growth guidance and continue raising prices to offset cost inflation. Moreover, management may be concerned about the pace of recovery for the U.S. consumer, a lack of available M&A opportunities, and the effectiveness of their marketing spend.
Underlying
Church & Dwight Co. Inc.

Church & Dwight develops, manufactures and markets a range of consumer products. The company's consumer products include: ARM & HAMMER? baking soda, cat litter, laundry detergent, carpet deodorizer and other baking soda based products; TROJAN? condoms, lubricants and vibrators; OXICLEAN? stain removers, cleaning solutions, laundry detergents and bleach alternatives; SPINBRUSH? battery-operated toothbrushes; FIRST RESPONSE? home pregnancy and ovulation test kits; NAIR? depilatories; ORAJEL? oral analgesic; XTRA? laundry detergent; L'IL CRITTERS? and VITAFUSION? gummy dietary supplements; BATISTE? dry shampoo; WATERPIK? water flossers and showerheads, and FLAWLESS? hair removal products.

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Valens Research
Valens Research

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