Report
Valens Research

CNX - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2018 02 21

 CNX Resources Corporation (CNX:USA) currently trades near historical lows relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) Assets, with a 0.8x Uniform P/B. However, even at these levels, the market has fairly bullish expectations, and management has concerns about capital efficiencies and their initiatives

 Specifically, management may be exaggerating the extent to which their reset E&P operations will allow them to focus exclusively on driving capital efficiencies, and may lack confidence in the sustainability of declining drilling complete cost. Furthermore, they may be overstating the vision they gain as a result of their hedging program, and may be exaggerating the acceleration of their plans for dual-formation development
Underlying
CNX Resources Corporation

CNX Resources is an independent oil and gas company focused on the exploration, development, production, gathering, processing and acquisition of natural gas properties primarily in the Appalachian Basin. The company's operations are centered on unconventional shale formations, primarily the Marcellus Shale and Utica Shale. The company operates, develops and explores for natural gas in Appalachia (Pennsylvania, West Virginia, Ohio, and Virginia).

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Valens Research
Valens Research

In 2009, just as the dust was settling from the last major equity and credit market crises, we launched a boutique research firm with the intention of breaking Wall Street’s biases and broken incentives:

  • GAAP and IFRS have failed to provide rules for reliable financial statement reporting
  • Stock analyst recommendations are not grounded in disciplined financial analysis
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  • Utter lack of willingness of major research firms to employ the the most advanced forensic analysis available

We sought to provide investors and company analysts with a source of information that changed all that.
Many years later, our business model remains because little has changed on Wall Street.

  • Corporate credit ratings remain years behind the fundamental underpinnings of company performance
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