Report
Valens Research

CNX - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2018 06 22

CNX Resources Corporation (CNX:USA) currently trades near historical lows relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) Assets, with a 0.9x Uniform P/B. At these levels, the market has muted expectations for the firm, while management has concerns about CNX Midstream, guidance, and activity

Specifically, management may have concerns about their noncontrolling interest in CNX Midstream, driven by concerns about their first drop-down into the MLP, and may be concerned about their ability to meet the guidance issued at their Analyst Day in March. Additionally, they may lack confidence in their ability to monetize capacity to improve unutilized FT costs, and may have concerns about their expectation for declining activity in Q2
Underlying
CNX Resources Corporation

CNX Resources is an independent oil and gas company focused on the exploration, development, production, gathering, processing and acquisition of natural gas properties primarily in the Appalachian Basin. The company's operations are centered on unconventional shale formations, primarily the Marcellus Shale and Utica Shale. The company operates, develops and explores for natural gas in Appalachia (Pennsylvania, West Virginia, Ohio, and Virginia).

Provider
Valens Research
Valens Research

In 2009, just as the dust was settling from the last major equity and credit market crises, we launched a boutique research firm with the intention of breaking Wall Street’s biases and broken incentives:

  • GAAP and IFRS have failed to provide rules for reliable financial statement reporting
  • Stock analyst recommendations are not grounded in disciplined financial analysis
  • Credit agencies have been set up to grossly fail in their responsibilities to investors and the public markets
  • Utter lack of willingness of major research firms to employ the the most advanced forensic analysis available

We sought to provide investors and company analysts with a source of information that changed all that.
Many years later, our business model remains because little has changed on Wall Street.

  • Corporate credit ratings remain years behind the fundamental underpinnings of company performance
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  • Research firms have failed to break down the walls between credit, equity, and macroeconomic research
  • The governing accounting bodies have created more leeway for mis-estimates and mis-classifications as financials have become unwieldy and overwhelming

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