Report
Valens Research

CAG - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2020 08 04

Conagra Brands, Inc. (CAG:USA) currently trades near corporate averages relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) earnings, with a 22.3x Uniform P/E. At these levels, the market has bullish expectations for the firm, but management appears concerned about the sustainability of recent growth trends, particularly internationally, and about their margins

Specifically, management may lack confidence in their ability to sustain recent growth in their staples business, and they may be concerned about the sustainability of recent same customer sales. Moreover, they may be concerned about foreign exchange headwinds and international growth, and may be exaggerating the current momentum they are seeing in the market. They may also be concerned about their ability to reach synergy targets and sustain their operating margin, and about the sustainability of increased demand for frozen foods from millennials and generation Z
Underlying
Conagra Brands Inc.

Conagra Brands is a packaged goods food company. The company's segments are: Grocery and Snacks, which includes branded, shelf stable food products sold in various retail channels; Refrigerated and Frozen, which includes branded, temperature controlled food products sold in various retail channels; International, which includes branded food products sold in retail and foodservice channels outside of the U.S.; Foodservice, which includes customized food products for sale to restaurants and other foodservice establishments; Pinnacle Foods, which includes and private-label food products; and Commercial Foods, which included commercially branded and private label food and ingredients, among others.

Provider
Valens Research
Valens Research

In 2009, just as the dust was settling from the last major equity and credit market crises, we launched a boutique research firm with the intention of breaking Wall Street’s biases and broken incentives:

  • GAAP and IFRS have failed to provide rules for reliable financial statement reporting
  • Stock analyst recommendations are not grounded in disciplined financial analysis
  • Credit agencies have been set up to grossly fail in their responsibilities to investors and the public markets
  • Utter lack of willingness of major research firms to employ the the most advanced forensic analysis available

We sought to provide investors and company analysts with a source of information that changed all that.
Many years later, our business model remains because little has changed on Wall Street.

  • Corporate credit ratings remain years behind the fundamental underpinnings of company performance
  • Stock analysts continue to make recommendations with deeply inherent biases
  • Research firms have failed to break down the walls between credit, equity, and macroeconomic research
  • The governing accounting bodies have created more leeway for mis-estimates and mis-classifications as financials have become unwieldy and overwhelming

The integrity of Valens Research is founded in our disciplined processes and analytics. No “star” analysts. No corporate advisory relationships. No-nonsense opinions and recommendations.

Analysts
Valens Research

Other Reports on these Companies
Other Reports from Valens Research

ResearchPool Subscriptions

Get the most out of your insights

Get in touch