Report
Valens Research

CW - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2019 09 06

Curtiss-Wright Corporation (CW:USA) currently trades near recent averages relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) Earnings, with a 19.1x Uniform P/E. At these levels, the market has somewhat bullish expectations for the firm, but management may be concerned about the impact of tariffs, acquisition integration, and R&D.

Specifically, management may be concerned about ongoing cost increases driven by tariffs, and they may be exaggerating the incremental value they expect to be realized from their recent acquisitions. Furthermore, they may lack confidence in their ability to maintain their recent book-to-bill ratio, and they may be concerned about the sustainability of current defense spending rates. Finally, they may be concerned about their ability to continue increasing their R&D spend.
Underlying
Curtiss-Wright Corporation

Curtiss-Wright is a manufacturing and service company that designs, manufactures, and overhauls components and provides engineered products and services. The company's segments are: Commercial/Industrial, which provides engineered products and services including industrial vehicle products, sensors, valves and surface technology services; Defense, which provides Commercial Off-the-Shelf embedded computing board-level modules, integrated subsystems, instrumentation and control systems, turret aiming and stabilization products, and weapons handling systems; and Power, which provides hardware, pumps, valves, fastening systems, containment doors, airlock hatches, and spent fuel management products.

Provider
Valens Research
Valens Research

In 2009, just as the dust was settling from the last major equity and credit market crises, we launched a boutique research firm with the intention of breaking Wall Street’s biases and broken incentives:

  • GAAP and IFRS have failed to provide rules for reliable financial statement reporting
  • Stock analyst recommendations are not grounded in disciplined financial analysis
  • Credit agencies have been set up to grossly fail in their responsibilities to investors and the public markets
  • Utter lack of willingness of major research firms to employ the the most advanced forensic analysis available

We sought to provide investors and company analysts with a source of information that changed all that.
Many years later, our business model remains because little has changed on Wall Street.

  • Corporate credit ratings remain years behind the fundamental underpinnings of company performance
  • Stock analysts continue to make recommendations with deeply inherent biases
  • Research firms have failed to break down the walls between credit, equity, and macroeconomic research
  • The governing accounting bodies have created more leeway for mis-estimates and mis-classifications as financials have become unwieldy and overwhelming

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Valens Research

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