Report
Valens Research

DRI - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2020 12 10

Darden Restaurants, Inc. (DRI:USA) currently trades above historical averages relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) earnings, with a 25.5x Uniform P/E. At these levels, the market has bullish expectations for the firm, but management appears concerned about revenue declines, menu simplification initiatives, and off-premise capabilities

Specifically, management may lack confidence in their ability to mitigate revenue and adjusted EPS declines, maintain margins, and continue generating labor cost savings. In addition, they may have concerns about their menu simplification initiative, California operations, and weather disruptions to outdoor dining. Furthermore, management may lack confidence in their ability to enhance their off-premise capabilities, sustain the pace of new restaurant openings, and prevent restaurant overcapacity. Moreover, they may be exaggerating their brands' strength, their commitment to their current development philosophy, and their ability to increase sales volumes. Finally, management may be concerned about rising safety equipment spend, including booth partitions, and their California operations
Underlying
Darden Restaurants Inc.

Darden Restaurants is a restaurant company. The company owns and operates restaurants through subsidiaries in the U.S. and Canada under the Olive Garden?, LongHorn Steakhouse?, Cheddar's Scratch Kitchen?, Yard House?, The Capital Grille?, Seasons 52?, Bahama Breeze?, and Eddie V's Prime Seafood? trademarks. The company has four reportable segments: Olive Garden; LongHorn Steakhouse; Fine Dining (which includes The Capital Grille and Eddie V's); and Other Business (which includes Cheddar's Scratch Kitchen, Yard House, Seasons 52, Bahama Breeze and results from its franchise operations).

Provider
Valens Research
Valens Research

In 2009, just as the dust was settling from the last major equity and credit market crises, we launched a boutique research firm with the intention of breaking Wall Street’s biases and broken incentives:

  • GAAP and IFRS have failed to provide rules for reliable financial statement reporting
  • Stock analyst recommendations are not grounded in disciplined financial analysis
  • Credit agencies have been set up to grossly fail in their responsibilities to investors and the public markets
  • Utter lack of willingness of major research firms to employ the the most advanced forensic analysis available

We sought to provide investors and company analysts with a source of information that changed all that.
Many years later, our business model remains because little has changed on Wall Street.

  • Corporate credit ratings remain years behind the fundamental underpinnings of company performance
  • Stock analysts continue to make recommendations with deeply inherent biases
  • Research firms have failed to break down the walls between credit, equity, and macroeconomic research
  • The governing accounting bodies have created more leeway for mis-estimates and mis-classifications as financials have become unwieldy and overwhelming

The integrity of Valens Research is founded in our disciplined processes and analytics. No “star” analysts. No corporate advisory relationships. No-nonsense opinions and recommendations.

Analysts
Valens Research

Other Reports on these Companies
Other Reports from Valens Research

ResearchPool Subscriptions

Get the most out of your insights

Get in touch