Report
Valens Research

DISC.A - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2019 08 21

Discovery Communications (DISC.A:USA) currently trades below historical averages relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) Earnings with a 9.6x Uniform P/E. At these levels, the market is pricing in bearish expectations for the firm, which may be unwarranted given management's confidence about their international growth, market share, and advertising revenues.

Specifically, management generated an excitement marker when saying their UKTV lifestyle business will add 2%-3% of international advertising revenue growth next quarter, and they are confident their market share across their top 10 international countries grew 5% this quarter. Furthermore, they are confident their audience delivery was up an average of 4% internationally and that they have content, brand credibility, and IP in every international country in which they operate. Moreover, they are confident 5G will provide future business opportunities and that their scale gives them an advantage when competing internationally. Finally, they are confident that they saw 5% U.S. affiliate growth in Q2.
Underlying
Discovery Inc. Class A

Discovery, through its subsidiaries, is a media company that provides content across distribution platforms, including pay-television, free-to-air and broadcast television, and direct-to-consumer subscription products. The company's portfolio of networks includes nonfiction television brands such as Discovery Channel, HGTV, Food Network, TLC, Animal Planet, Science Channel, and MotorTrend . The company's portfolio includes Eurosport, a sports entertainment provider. The company classifies its operations in two segments: U.S. Networks, consisting of domestic television networks and digital content services, and International Networks, consisting of international television networks and digital content services.

Provider
Valens Research
Valens Research

In 2009, just as the dust was settling from the last major equity and credit market crises, we launched a boutique research firm with the intention of breaking Wall Street’s biases and broken incentives:

  • GAAP and IFRS have failed to provide rules for reliable financial statement reporting
  • Stock analyst recommendations are not grounded in disciplined financial analysis
  • Credit agencies have been set up to grossly fail in their responsibilities to investors and the public markets
  • Utter lack of willingness of major research firms to employ the the most advanced forensic analysis available

We sought to provide investors and company analysts with a source of information that changed all that.
Many years later, our business model remains because little has changed on Wall Street.

  • Corporate credit ratings remain years behind the fundamental underpinnings of company performance
  • Stock analysts continue to make recommendations with deeply inherent biases
  • Research firms have failed to break down the walls between credit, equity, and macroeconomic research
  • The governing accounting bodies have created more leeway for mis-estimates and mis-classifications as financials have become unwieldy and overwhelming

The integrity of Valens Research is founded in our disciplined processes and analytics. No “star” analysts. No corporate advisory relationships. No-nonsense opinions and recommendations.

Analysts
Valens Research

Other Reports on these Companies
Other Reports from Valens Research

ResearchPool Subscriptions

Get the most out of your insights

Get in touch