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Valens Research

EQIX - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2021 11 04

Equinix, Inc. (REIT) (EQIX) currently trades above historical and corporate averages relative to Uniform earnings, with a 70.6x Uniform P/E (Fwd. V/E').

At these levels, markets are pricing in expectations for Uniform ROA to expand to historical highs, accompanied by 7% Uniform asset growth.

Similarly, if sustained in perpetuity, analyst expectations for 7% Uniform ROA and 6% Uniform asset growth imply a stock price closer to $240, representing approximately 72% equity downside for the firm.

Moreover, the firm's most recent earnings call suggests management may have concerns about bookings growth, AFFO, and their product pipeline.
Underlying
Equinix Inc.

Equinix provides colocation space and related offerings. The company operates International Business Exchange? (IBX?) data centers across the Americas; Europe, Middle East and Africa and Asia-Pacific geographic regions where customers directly interconnect with a network ecosystem of partners and customers. The company's data center solutions include IBX Data Centers and xScale Data Centers. The company's Interconnection Solution connect businesses within and between its data centers across its global platform. The company's edge services help businesses deploy as-a-service networking, security and hardware across its data center footprint, as an alternative to buying, owning and managing the physical infrastructure.

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Valens Research
Valens Research

In 2009, just as the dust was settling from the last major equity and credit market crises, we launched a boutique research firm with the intention of breaking Wall Street’s biases and broken incentives:

  • GAAP and IFRS have failed to provide rules for reliable financial statement reporting
  • Stock analyst recommendations are not grounded in disciplined financial analysis
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  • Utter lack of willingness of major research firms to employ the the most advanced forensic analysis available

We sought to provide investors and company analysts with a source of information that changed all that.
Many years later, our business model remains because little has changed on Wall Street.

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