Report
Valens Research

FORR - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2019 04 12

Forrester Research, Inc. (FORR:USA) is currently trading near recent average valuations relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) Earnings, with a 30.5x Uniform P/E. At these levels, the market is pricing in expectations for Uniform ROA to expand from 13% in 2017 to 26% in 2022, levels the firm hasn't seen since before the Great Recession.

Specifically, the market appears to be pricing in expectations that the firm will be able to differentiate themselves from competitors by delivering unique technology-oriented products and solutions. In addition, the market is optimistic in the potential of the SiriusDecisions acquisition to drive top- and bottom-line growth and facilitate cross-selling opportunities.
Underlying
Forrester Research Inc.

Forrester Research is an independent research, data, and advisory services firm. The company's products and services categories are: Forrester Research, which provides clients with published research and decision tools; Forrester Connect, which help clients connect with peers and the company's personnel, and to coach executives to foster change within their organizations; Forrester Analytics, which provides products and services designed to provide fact-based customer insights to its clients; Forrester Consulting, which provides advisory and project consulting services that deliver insights and recommendations; and Forrester Events, which hosts events in various locations in North America, Europe and Asia.

Provider
Valens Research
Valens Research

In 2009, just as the dust was settling from the last major equity and credit market crises, we launched a boutique research firm with the intention of breaking Wall Street’s biases and broken incentives:

  • GAAP and IFRS have failed to provide rules for reliable financial statement reporting
  • Stock analyst recommendations are not grounded in disciplined financial analysis
  • Credit agencies have been set up to grossly fail in their responsibilities to investors and the public markets
  • Utter lack of willingness of major research firms to employ the the most advanced forensic analysis available

We sought to provide investors and company analysts with a source of information that changed all that.
Many years later, our business model remains because little has changed on Wall Street.

  • Corporate credit ratings remain years behind the fundamental underpinnings of company performance
  • Stock analysts continue to make recommendations with deeply inherent biases
  • Research firms have failed to break down the walls between credit, equity, and macroeconomic research
  • The governing accounting bodies have created more leeway for mis-estimates and mis-classifications as financials have become unwieldy and overwhelming

The integrity of Valens Research is founded in our disciplined processes and analytics. No “star” analysts. No corporate advisory relationships. No-nonsense opinions and recommendations.

Analysts
Valens Research

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