Report
Valens Research

FCX - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2018 09 12

Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (FCX:USA) currently trades below historical lows, and well below UAFRS-based (Uniform) Asset levels, with a 0.6x Uniform P/B, implying bearish expectations for the firm. Moreover, management has concerns about increased costs, their ability to improve asset utilization, and ore grades at the Grasberg Block Cave

Specifically, management may lack confidence in their ability to improve productivity and cost management. Additionally, they may be concerned about the increased cost of energy and the development of the deep MLZ. Furthermore, they may be exaggerating their insight about the ore body of the Grasberg Block Cave, and may lack confidence in the grade of ore mined at Grasberg. Moreover, they may lack confidence in their ability to increase their asset utilization, and may be exaggerating improvements in their relationship with local communities in Indonesia
Underlying
Freeport-McMoRan Inc.

Freeport-McMoRan is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, the company is a mining company. The company operates assets with proven and probable reserves of copper, gold and molybdenum, and the company is a publicly traded copper producer. The company's portfolio of assets includes the Grasberg minerals district in Indonesia, copper and gold deposits; and mining operations in North America and South America, including the Morenci minerals district in Arizona and the Cerro Verde operation in Peru. The company has organized its mining operations into four primary divisions: North America copper mines, South America mining, Indonesia mining and Molybdenum mines.

Provider
Valens Research
Valens Research

In 2009, just as the dust was settling from the last major equity and credit market crises, we launched a boutique research firm with the intention of breaking Wall Street’s biases and broken incentives:

  • GAAP and IFRS have failed to provide rules for reliable financial statement reporting
  • Stock analyst recommendations are not grounded in disciplined financial analysis
  • Credit agencies have been set up to grossly fail in their responsibilities to investors and the public markets
  • Utter lack of willingness of major research firms to employ the the most advanced forensic analysis available

We sought to provide investors and company analysts with a source of information that changed all that.
Many years later, our business model remains because little has changed on Wall Street.

  • Corporate credit ratings remain years behind the fundamental underpinnings of company performance
  • Stock analysts continue to make recommendations with deeply inherent biases
  • Research firms have failed to break down the walls between credit, equity, and macroeconomic research
  • The governing accounting bodies have created more leeway for mis-estimates and mis-classifications as financials have become unwieldy and overwhelming

The integrity of Valens Research is founded in our disciplined processes and analytics. No “star” analysts. No corporate advisory relationships. No-nonsense opinions and recommendations.

Analysts
Valens Research

Other Reports on these Companies
Other Reports from Valens Research

ResearchPool Subscriptions

Get the most out of your insights

Get in touch