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Valens Research

GE - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2021 03 15

General Electric Company (GE:USA) currently trades above historical averages relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) earnings, with a 40.6x Uniform P/E. At these levels, the market has bullish expectations for the firm, but management may be concerned about revenue growth, their free cash flows, and the financial performance of their Aviation business

Specifically, management may lack confidence in their ability to sustain margin improvements across segments, revenue growth in China, and double-digit order growth for transactional services. Furthermore, management may be downplaying concerns about the progress of their supply chain recovery initiatives and the lack of profitability for Power Conversion. They may also lack confidence in their ability to sustain strong overall free cash flow, control production-related costs, and improve bottom-line performance, particularly in Aviation and Insurance. Moreover, they may be concerned about the potential for additional airline failures due to credit deterioration
Underlying
General Electric Company

General Electric is a technology industrial company. The company's segments include: Power, which serves power generation, industrial, government and other customers with products and services related to energy production; Renewable Energy, which engineers and manufactures energy equipment and projects, grid solutions and digital services; Aviation, which designs and produces commercial and military aircraft engines, digital components, electric power and mechanical aircraft systems; Healthcare, which provides healthcare technologies; and Capital, which provides financial products and services that build on the company's industry capabilities in aviation, power, renewables, healthcare and other activities.

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Valens Research
Valens Research

In 2009, just as the dust was settling from the last major equity and credit market crises, we launched a boutique research firm with the intention of breaking Wall Street’s biases and broken incentives:

  • GAAP and IFRS have failed to provide rules for reliable financial statement reporting
  • Stock analyst recommendations are not grounded in disciplined financial analysis
  • Credit agencies have been set up to grossly fail in their responsibilities to investors and the public markets
  • Utter lack of willingness of major research firms to employ the the most advanced forensic analysis available

We sought to provide investors and company analysts with a source of information that changed all that.
Many years later, our business model remains because little has changed on Wall Street.

  • Corporate credit ratings remain years behind the fundamental underpinnings of company performance
  • Stock analysts continue to make recommendations with deeply inherent biases
  • Research firms have failed to break down the walls between credit, equity, and macroeconomic research
  • The governing accounting bodies have created more leeway for mis-estimates and mis-classifications as financials have become unwieldy and overwhelming

The integrity of Valens Research is founded in our disciplined processes and analytics. No “star” analysts. No corporate advisory relationships. No-nonsense opinions and recommendations.

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