Report
Valens Research

GM - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2021 05 04

General Motors Company (GM:USA) currently trades below corporate averages relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) earnings, with a 17.6x Uniform P/E. At these levels, the market is pricing in expectations for profitability to remain stable, but management may be concerned about their liquidity position, combustion engine investments, and Super Cruise launch

Specifically, management may lack confidence in their ability to execute their capital allocation strategy, sustain their automotive liquidity position, and further realize significant cost savings. Moreover, they may have concerns about the sustainability of low interest rates, continued competitive pricing headwinds in China, and the launch of Super Cruise. Furthermore, management may lack confidence in their ability to expand Super Cruise's reach, sustain share gains in the US SUV market, and invest in internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles. Finally, they may be exaggerating their leadership position in automotive technological advancement and they may lack confidence in their ability to meet their automotive free cash flow guidance
Underlying
General Motors Company

General Motors designs, builds and sells trucks, crossovers, cars and automobile parts. The company also provides automotive financing services through its subsidiary, General Motors Financial Company, Inc. (GM Financial). GM Financial provides retail loan and lease lending across the credit spectrum. GM Financial provides commercial lending products to dealers including new and used vehicle inventory floorplan financing and dealer loans, which are loans to finance improvements to dealership facilities, to provide working capital, and to purchase and/or finance dealership real estate. Other commercial lending products include financing for parts and accessories, dealer fleets and storage centers.

Provider
Valens Research
Valens Research

In 2009, just as the dust was settling from the last major equity and credit market crises, we launched a boutique research firm with the intention of breaking Wall Street’s biases and broken incentives:

  • GAAP and IFRS have failed to provide rules for reliable financial statement reporting
  • Stock analyst recommendations are not grounded in disciplined financial analysis
  • Credit agencies have been set up to grossly fail in their responsibilities to investors and the public markets
  • Utter lack of willingness of major research firms to employ the the most advanced forensic analysis available

We sought to provide investors and company analysts with a source of information that changed all that.
Many years later, our business model remains because little has changed on Wall Street.

  • Corporate credit ratings remain years behind the fundamental underpinnings of company performance
  • Stock analysts continue to make recommendations with deeply inherent biases
  • Research firms have failed to break down the walls between credit, equity, and macroeconomic research
  • The governing accounting bodies have created more leeway for mis-estimates and mis-classifications as financials have become unwieldy and overwhelming

The integrity of Valens Research is founded in our disciplined processes and analytics. No “star” analysts. No corporate advisory relationships. No-nonsense opinions and recommendations.

Analysts
Valens Research

Other Reports on these Companies
Other Reports from Valens Research

ResearchPool Subscriptions

Get the most out of your insights

Get in touch