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Valens Research

GM - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2021 07 22

General Motors Company (GM:USA) currently trades below corporate averages relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) earnings, with a 13.7x Uniform P/E. At these levels, the market is pricing in expectations for profitability to remain muted, but management is confident about their Ultium platform, Super Cruise, and the Chevy Silverado.

Specifically, management is confident their record Q1 performance was driven largely by robust product demand and success in GM Financial. In addition, they are confident they will realize battery cost reductions with Ultium, that the Ultium Cells' plant construction will begin immediately, and that they have signed seven major charging networks for Ultium Charge 360. Furthermore, they are confident the Vehicle Intelligence Platform (VIP) enabled a large-scale deployment of Super Cruise, that Super Cruise received positive reception, and that Factory ZERO will build the GMC HUMMER EV SUV and the Chevy Silverado full-size electric pickup truck. Also, they are confident that Chevrolet's Silverado exceeded high expectations and that it will be a high-volume entry in one of the most popular and competitive segments in the industry.
Underlying
General Motors Company

General Motors designs, builds and sells trucks, crossovers, cars and automobile parts. The company also provides automotive financing services through its subsidiary, General Motors Financial Company, Inc. (GM Financial). GM Financial provides retail loan and lease lending across the credit spectrum. GM Financial provides commercial lending products to dealers including new and used vehicle inventory floorplan financing and dealer loans, which are loans to finance improvements to dealership facilities, to provide working capital, and to purchase and/or finance dealership real estate. Other commercial lending products include financing for parts and accessories, dealer fleets and storage centers.

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Valens Research
Valens Research

In 2009, just as the dust was settling from the last major equity and credit market crises, we launched a boutique research firm with the intention of breaking Wall Street’s biases and broken incentives:

  • GAAP and IFRS have failed to provide rules for reliable financial statement reporting
  • Stock analyst recommendations are not grounded in disciplined financial analysis
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Many years later, our business model remains because little has changed on Wall Street.

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