Report
Valens Research

HD - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2021 05 06

The Home Depot, Inc. (HD:USA) currently trades at a historical high relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) earnings, with a 27.2x Uniform P/E. At these levels, the market has bullish expectations for the firm, but management may have concerns about their overall business growth, gross and operating margin pressures, and the sustainability of home improvement demand

Specifically, management may have concerns about commodity price headwinds, continued pressures on gross margins, and increases in operating expenses. Furthermore, they may lack confidence in their ability to sustain business growth and maintain their online order mix. Also, they might have concerns about the permanent increases in compensation for their frontline associates, the sustainability of home improvement demand, and inventory seasonality. Additionally, management may lack confidence in their ability to improve their operating margins and continue to invest in their business. Moreover, they may be overstating the potential of their kids' workshops as well as the capabilities they built with their digital assets for the consumer business. Finally, management may be concerned about the margin impact of the HD Supply acquisition, declines in their return on invested capital, and the performance of understaffed stores
Underlying
Home Depot Inc.

The Home Depot is a home improvement retailer. The company provides its customers an assortment of building materials, home improvement products, lawn and garden products, and decor products and provides a number of services, including home improvement installation services and tool and equipment rental. The company also maintains a network of distribution and fulfillment centers, as well as a number of e-commerce websites. The company provides a number of programs for its Professional Customers to meet their particular needs, and for its Do-It-Yourself and Do-It-For-Me customers, the company provides a number of installation services. The company also provides tool and equipment rentals for its customers.

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Valens Research
Valens Research

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