Report
Valens Research

HRL - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2020 08 21

Hormel Foods Corporation (HRL:USA) currently trades at a historical high relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) earnings, with a 33.9x Uniform P/E. At these levels, the market has bullish expectations for the firm, and management is confident about dividends, strong product repeat rates, and Project Orion updates

Specifically, management is confident that they increased the quarterly dividend, that the repeat rates of Herdez and Black Label bacon are strong, and that moving to more user-convenient products is a win-win opportunity for them and their operators. In addition, they are confident that Jennie-O Turkey Store is having strong overall demand across many areas and that they have a very balanced foodservice business in the channels they compete in. Furthermore, management is confident that their Project Orion is on track and that they will give a live financial system update. Finally, they are confident in their ability to continue evaluating M&A opportunities and that they received the necessary protective gear for their employees
Underlying
Hormel Foods Corporation

Hormel Foods is primarily engaged in the production of meat and food products and the marketing of those products throughout the United States and internationally. The company's segments are: Grocery Products, which consists of the processing, marketing, and sale of shelf-stable food products; Refrigerated Foods, which consists of the processing, marketing, and sale of branded and unbranded pork, beef, chicken, and turkey products; Jennie-O Turkey Store, which consists of the processing, marketing, and sale of branded and unbranded turkey products; and International and Other, which includes Hormel Foods International Corporation that manufactures, markets, and sells the company's products internationally.

Provider
Valens Research
Valens Research

In 2009, just as the dust was settling from the last major equity and credit market crises, we launched a boutique research firm with the intention of breaking Wall Street’s biases and broken incentives:

  • GAAP and IFRS have failed to provide rules for reliable financial statement reporting
  • Stock analyst recommendations are not grounded in disciplined financial analysis
  • Credit agencies have been set up to grossly fail in their responsibilities to investors and the public markets
  • Utter lack of willingness of major research firms to employ the the most advanced forensic analysis available

We sought to provide investors and company analysts with a source of information that changed all that.
Many years later, our business model remains because little has changed on Wall Street.

  • Corporate credit ratings remain years behind the fundamental underpinnings of company performance
  • Stock analysts continue to make recommendations with deeply inherent biases
  • Research firms have failed to break down the walls between credit, equity, and macroeconomic research
  • The governing accounting bodies have created more leeway for mis-estimates and mis-classifications as financials have become unwieldy and overwhelming

The integrity of Valens Research is founded in our disciplined processes and analytics. No “star” analysts. No corporate advisory relationships. No-nonsense opinions and recommendations.

Analysts
Valens Research

Other Reports on these Companies
Other Reports from Valens Research

ResearchPool Subscriptions

Get the most out of your insights

Get in touch