Report
Valens Research

IONS - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2019 10 03

Ionis Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (IONS:USA) currently trades above corporate averages relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) Earnings, with a 25.4x Uniform P/E. At these levels, the market has expectations for profitability to remain near recent highs, but management may be concerned about their ongoing drug trials, the strength of their pipeline, and the sustainability of their operating income growth.

Specifically, management may be concerned about the success of their WAYLIVRA trial and about the timing of their IONIS-FXIR study. Furthermore, they may be exaggerating the strength and depth of their pipeline, and may be concerned about their development partnership with Bayer. Additionally, they may be concerned about the breadth of indications for prekallikrein, and may be exaggerating their excitement for their APOCIII drug. Finally, they may be concerned about the sustainability of SPINRAZA's market leadership, and may lack confidence in their ability to sustain recent operating income growth.
Underlying
Ionis Pharmaceuticals Inc.

Ionis Pharmaceuticals is engaged in discovering and developing RNA-targeted therapeutics. The company has two commercial medicines, SPINRAZA and TEGSEDI. SPINRAZA (nusinersen) injection for intrathecal use is a survival motor neuron-2, directed antisense oligonucleotide indicated for the treatment of spinal muscular atrophy in pediatric and adult patients. TEGSEDI (inotersen) injection is a Generation 2+ antisense medicine and an approved subcutaneous RNA-targeting medicine designed to treat people with polyneuropathy caused by hereditary transthyretin amyloidosis.

Provider
Valens Research
Valens Research

In 2009, just as the dust was settling from the last major equity and credit market crises, we launched a boutique research firm with the intention of breaking Wall Street’s biases and broken incentives:

  • GAAP and IFRS have failed to provide rules for reliable financial statement reporting
  • Stock analyst recommendations are not grounded in disciplined financial analysis
  • Credit agencies have been set up to grossly fail in their responsibilities to investors and the public markets
  • Utter lack of willingness of major research firms to employ the the most advanced forensic analysis available

We sought to provide investors and company analysts with a source of information that changed all that.
Many years later, our business model remains because little has changed on Wall Street.

  • Corporate credit ratings remain years behind the fundamental underpinnings of company performance
  • Stock analysts continue to make recommendations with deeply inherent biases
  • Research firms have failed to break down the walls between credit, equity, and macroeconomic research
  • The governing accounting bodies have created more leeway for mis-estimates and mis-classifications as financials have become unwieldy and overwhelming

The integrity of Valens Research is founded in our disciplined processes and analytics. No “star” analysts. No corporate advisory relationships. No-nonsense opinions and recommendations.

Analysts
Valens Research

Other Reports on these Companies
Other Reports from Valens Research

ResearchPool Subscriptions

Get the most out of your insights

Get in touch