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Valens Research

2914 JPN - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2018 04 03

Japan Tobacco Inc. (2914:JPN) currently trades above historical averages relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) Earnings, with a 19.5x Uniform P/E, implying fairly bullish expectations for the firm. However, management has concerns about their profits, portfolio, and regulation

Specifically, management may lack confidence in the sustainability of gross profit improvements in their Pharmaceutical and Processed Food businesses, and may be downplaying concerns about their reduced risk products. Moreover, they may have concerns about the new TPD2 Tobacco Product Directive, and may also be concerned about industry volume pressures going into 2018
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Valens Research
Valens Research

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