Report
Valens Research

SJM - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2021 10 06

The J.M. Smucker Company (SJM:USA) currently trades below corporate averages relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) earnings, with a 15.5x Uniform P/E. At these levels, the market is pricing in bearish expectations for the firm, but management is confident about their coffee business, supply chain management, and pet food business growth.

Specifically, management is confident their pricing elasticity model for green coffee generally performed as expected and that they are outpacing coffee category growth through Dunkin', Café Bustelo and K-Cups. Moreover, they are confident they have been successful in executing and managing their supply chain and that the advancement of their pet snacks portfolio will contribute low single-digit growth.
Underlying
J.M. Smucker Company

Smucker (J.M.) manufactures and markets food and beverage products. The company's principal products are coffee, dog food, pet snacks, cat food, peanut butter, fruit spreads, frozen handheld products, shortening and oils, portion control products, juices and beverages, and flour and baking ingredients. The company has four reportable segments: U.S. Retail Coffee, U.S. Retail Consumer Foods, and U.S. Retail Pet Foods, and International and Away From Home. The U.S. retail market segments represent the sales of food and beverage products to consumers through retail outlets in North America. The International and Away From Home segment represents sales outside of the U.S. retail market segments.

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Valens Research
Valens Research

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