Report
Valens Research

JW.A - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2019 11 14

John Wiley & Sons, Inc. (JW.A:USA) currently trades near corporate averages relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) Earnings, with a 21.0x Uniform P/E. At these levels, the market has bearish expectations for the firm, and management appears concerned about their free cash flow, product growth, and capital allocation strategy.

Specifically, management may lack confidence in their ability to streamline their business, and they may be concerned about the value of their partnership with American Society for Microbiology. Furthermore, they may lack confidence in their ability to sustain recent growth in their corporate training business and profitability improvement in their Education Services division. In addition, they may be concerned about the value of their Learning House acquisition, and they may lack confidence in the effectiveness of their capital allocation strategy. Finally, they may lack confidence in their ability to meet their free cash flow guidance and deliver zyBooks products at a lower cost to traditional textbooks.
Underlying
John Wiley & Sons Inc. Class A

John Wiley & Sons is a global research and learning company. Co. has three segments: Research segment, which provides scientific, technical, medical, and scholarly journals, as well as related content and services to libraries and individual researchers, among others; Publishing, which provides scientific, professional, and education books and related content in print and digital formats, test preparation services and course workflow tools, to libraries, corporations, students, professionals, and researchers; and Solutions, which provides online program management services for higher education institutions and learning, development, and assessment services for businesses and professionals.

Provider
Valens Research
Valens Research

In 2009, just as the dust was settling from the last major equity and credit market crises, we launched a boutique research firm with the intention of breaking Wall Street’s biases and broken incentives:

  • GAAP and IFRS have failed to provide rules for reliable financial statement reporting
  • Stock analyst recommendations are not grounded in disciplined financial analysis
  • Credit agencies have been set up to grossly fail in their responsibilities to investors and the public markets
  • Utter lack of willingness of major research firms to employ the the most advanced forensic analysis available

We sought to provide investors and company analysts with a source of information that changed all that.
Many years later, our business model remains because little has changed on Wall Street.

  • Corporate credit ratings remain years behind the fundamental underpinnings of company performance
  • Stock analysts continue to make recommendations with deeply inherent biases
  • Research firms have failed to break down the walls between credit, equity, and macroeconomic research
  • The governing accounting bodies have created more leeway for mis-estimates and mis-classifications as financials have become unwieldy and overwhelming

The integrity of Valens Research is founded in our disciplined processes and analytics. No “star” analysts. No corporate advisory relationships. No-nonsense opinions and recommendations.

Analysts
Valens Research

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