Report
Valens Research

MSFT - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2020 06 17

Microsoft Corporation (MSFT:USA) currently trades at a historical high relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) earnings, with a 27.5x Uniform P/E. At these levels, the market has bullish expectations for the firm, but management may have concerns about growth, Microsoft Teams, and their portfolio of services

Specifically, management may lack confidence in their ability to sustain growth in gross margin, Productivity and Business Processes segment revenue, and on-premises server business revenue. In addition, they may have concerns about the security of Microsoft Teams for remote work, the sustainability of Teams meetings usage in the health care industry, and lower OEM revenue growth expectations. Moreover, they may lack confidence in their ability to increase customer utility from using Microsoft Teams, help businesses migrate to the cloud, and improve developer relevance.

Furthermore, they may be exaggerating the comprehensive capabilities of Microsoft Teams, the effectiveness of their Talent Solutions portfolio in retaining and developing talent, and the value of their speech services
Underlying
Microsoft Corporation

Microsoft is a technology company. The company develops and supports software, services, devices, and solutions. The company provides an array of services, including cloud-based solutions as well as solution support and consulting services. The company also delivers relevant online advertising. The company's products include operating systems; cross-device productivity applications; server applications; business solution applications; desktop and server management tools; software development tools; and video games. The company also designs, manufactures, and sells devices, including personal computers, tablets, gaming and entertainment consoles, other devices, and related accessories.

Provider
Valens Research
Valens Research

In 2009, just as the dust was settling from the last major equity and credit market crises, we launched a boutique research firm with the intention of breaking Wall Street’s biases and broken incentives:

  • GAAP and IFRS have failed to provide rules for reliable financial statement reporting
  • Stock analyst recommendations are not grounded in disciplined financial analysis
  • Credit agencies have been set up to grossly fail in their responsibilities to investors and the public markets
  • Utter lack of willingness of major research firms to employ the the most advanced forensic analysis available

We sought to provide investors and company analysts with a source of information that changed all that.
Many years later, our business model remains because little has changed on Wall Street.

  • Corporate credit ratings remain years behind the fundamental underpinnings of company performance
  • Stock analysts continue to make recommendations with deeply inherent biases
  • Research firms have failed to break down the walls between credit, equity, and macroeconomic research
  • The governing accounting bodies have created more leeway for mis-estimates and mis-classifications as financials have become unwieldy and overwhelming

The integrity of Valens Research is founded in our disciplined processes and analytics. No “star” analysts. No corporate advisory relationships. No-nonsense opinions and recommendations.

Analysts
Valens Research

Other Reports on these Companies
Other Reports from Valens Research

ResearchPool Subscriptions

Get the most out of your insights

Get in touch