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Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

SoftBank investing $40bn in OpenAI: Our take.

Softbank’s late generative AI strategy is taking shape in an interesting way. For our initial thoughts on the matter, see the attached article.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

CoreWeave IPO: Failure? Success? Implications? Our quick take.

CoreWeave started trading on Friday at an $18-19bn market cap, raising ~$1.5bn. Click the link below for our takeaways and views on the implications for the broader AI Infrastructure industry.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

CoreWeave: Customer concentration puts long term earnings power into q...

We showed in a first analysis CoreWeave is far behind leading hyperscalers on the cash cost of operating datacenters. What can we say of the sustainability of their earnings power?

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

ARC-AGI-2: Pushing the measure of intelligence beyond test-time comput...

The ARC team has announced ARC-AGI-2 and published initial benchmarking results, after ARC-AGI-1 got saturated by o3. The race to AGI is reset. Fascinating. ​​​​​For what all investors need to understand about the most important benchmark of the industry, summarized on a single slide, see the attached article.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

AI infrastructure growth, 2024-2027: Who wins inside the chip?

Nvidia’s updated GPU roadmap provided some good visibility on how the macro-architecture of GPUs will evolve until 2027. To see the implications for key players supplying the chips’ bill of material, summarized on a single slide, see the article attached.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Do you believe in magic? The #1 question to ask CoreWeave before consi...

CoreWeave adopted an unusual accounting approach in the S-1 they recently filed: accounting for infrastructure depreciation in OPEX, as “IT infrastructure costs”. This presents the benefit of boasting a Software-like gross margin (obviously, cloud without paying for hardware is like software…), but also the inconvenient of potentially misleading investors about the company’s ability to reach profitability

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

The Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible 4Q24

We publish today our comprehensive quarterly bible: 240 pages of detailed analyses on what happened in the last 3 months, and how we interpret it, in light of our current convictions. The first section acts as a PM summary, outlining our key findings, and latest thoughts on the semi cycle, in 6 slides.

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