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Valens Research

NXPI - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2021 12 27

NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) currently trades below corporate but near historical averages relative to Uniform earnings, with a 14.3x Uniform P/E (Fwd. V/E').

At these levels, markets are pricing in expectations for Uniform ROA to recover to 24%, accompanied by 3% Uniform asset growth.

Meanwhile, analysts expect Uniform ROA to expand to new highs of 35% by 2022, accompanied by 8% Uniform asset growth.

These levels would imply a stock price closer to $396, representing significant potential equity upside for the firm. That said, peak profitability is unlikely to be sustained going forward, given the highly cyclical nature of semiconductors.

However, the firm's most recent earnings call suggests management may have concerns about growth, EBITDA, and inventory.
Underlying
NXP Semiconductors NV

NXP Semiconductors is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, Co. is engaged as a global semiconductor company and a long-standing supplier in the industry. Co. provides High-Performance Mixed-Signal and Standard Product solutions. Co.'s product solutions are used in automotive, identification, wireless infrastructure, lighting, industrial, mobile, consumer and computing applications. Co. engages with original equipment manufacturers (OEM) and sell products in all major geographic regions.

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Valens Research
Valens Research

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