Report
Valens Research

PANW - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2020 07 20

Palo Alto Networks, Inc. (PANW:USA) currently trades above corporate averages relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) earnings, with a 43.8x Uniform P/E. Even at these levels, the market has bearish expectations for the firm, and management may have concerns about product potential, billings, and demand

Specifically, management may be overstating the outlook for companies with a supporting mobile and cloud-based consumer workforce, and the potential of their FLEXWORK concept. Furthermore, they may have concerns about the sustainability of demand for their enterprise agreements for VM-Series, the potential of Prisma Cloud 4, and transitioning to a remote workforce. Moreover, they may lack confidence in their ability to sustain their billings, execute their heavy branch strategy in their SD-WAN product, and achieve their revenue guidance in the range of $915mn to $925mn. Finally, they may be concerned about the sustainability of cloud transition demand, the potential of cloud-delivered firewall, and the growth stage of their next-gen security
Underlying
Palo Alto Networks Inc.

Palo Alto Networks provides a platform that allows enterprises, service providers, and government entities to secure their organizations. The company's platform uses a traffic classification engine that identifies network traffic by application, user, and content and provides security across the network, endpoint, and cloud. The company's product, subscription, and support offerings include: firewall appliances and software; and Panorama, which is a centralized security management solution for global control of various firewall appliances and software deployed on an end-customer's network as well as in their instances in public or private cloud environments as a virtual appliance or a physical appliance.

Provider
Valens Research
Valens Research

In 2009, just as the dust was settling from the last major equity and credit market crises, we launched a boutique research firm with the intention of breaking Wall Street’s biases and broken incentives:

  • GAAP and IFRS have failed to provide rules for reliable financial statement reporting
  • Stock analyst recommendations are not grounded in disciplined financial analysis
  • Credit agencies have been set up to grossly fail in their responsibilities to investors and the public markets
  • Utter lack of willingness of major research firms to employ the the most advanced forensic analysis available

We sought to provide investors and company analysts with a source of information that changed all that.
Many years later, our business model remains because little has changed on Wall Street.

  • Corporate credit ratings remain years behind the fundamental underpinnings of company performance
  • Stock analysts continue to make recommendations with deeply inherent biases
  • Research firms have failed to break down the walls between credit, equity, and macroeconomic research
  • The governing accounting bodies have created more leeway for mis-estimates and mis-classifications as financials have become unwieldy and overwhelming

The integrity of Valens Research is founded in our disciplined processes and analytics. No “star” analysts. No corporate advisory relationships. No-nonsense opinions and recommendations.

Analysts
Valens Research

Other Reports on these Companies
Other Reports from Valens Research

ResearchPool Subscriptions

Get the most out of your insights

Get in touch