Report
Valens Research

PPC - Valens Credit Report - 2021 03 29

Credit markets are grossly overstating PPC's credit risk with a YTW of 5.293%, relative to an Intrinsic YTW of 2.023% and an Intrinsic CDS of 119bps. Meanwhile, Moody's is materially overstating the firm's fundamental credit risk, with its speculative Ba3 credit rating five notches lower than Valens' IG4+ (Baa1) credit rating

Incentives Dictate Behavior™ analysis highlights mostly positive signals for creditors. Management's compensation framework should drive them to focus on all three value drivers; asset efficiency, margin expansion, and revenue growth, which should lead to Uniform ROA improvement and higher cash flows available for servicing obligations. In addition, members of management are material holders of PPC equity relative to their annual compensation, indicating they may be well-aligned with shareholders for long-term value creation
Underlying
Pilgrim's Pride Corporation

Pilgrims Pride is primarily engaged in the production, processing, marketing and distribution of fresh, frozen chicken products to retailers, distributors and foodservice operators. The company's primary product types are fresh chicken products, prepared chicken products and export chicken products. The company's fresh chicken products consist of refrigerated (nonfrozen) whole or cut-up chicken, either pre-marinated or non-marinated and prepackaged case-ready chicken. The company's case-ready chicken includes various combinations of freshly refrigerated, whole chickens and chicken parts in trays, bags or other consumer packs labeled and priced ready for the retail grocer's fresh meat counter.

Provider
Valens Research
Valens Research

In 2009, just as the dust was settling from the last major equity and credit market crises, we launched a boutique research firm with the intention of breaking Wall Street’s biases and broken incentives:

  • GAAP and IFRS have failed to provide rules for reliable financial statement reporting
  • Stock analyst recommendations are not grounded in disciplined financial analysis
  • Credit agencies have been set up to grossly fail in their responsibilities to investors and the public markets
  • Utter lack of willingness of major research firms to employ the the most advanced forensic analysis available

We sought to provide investors and company analysts with a source of information that changed all that.
Many years later, our business model remains because little has changed on Wall Street.

  • Corporate credit ratings remain years behind the fundamental underpinnings of company performance
  • Stock analysts continue to make recommendations with deeply inherent biases
  • Research firms have failed to break down the walls between credit, equity, and macroeconomic research
  • The governing accounting bodies have created more leeway for mis-estimates and mis-classifications as financials have become unwieldy and overwhelming

The integrity of Valens Research is founded in our disciplined processes and analytics. No “star” analysts. No corporate advisory relationships. No-nonsense opinions and recommendations.

Analysts
Valens Research

Other Reports on these Companies
Other Reports from Valens Research

ResearchPool Subscriptions

Get the most out of your insights

Get in touch