Report
Valens Research

SNAP - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2021 11 15

Snap Inc. (SNAP) currently trades above corporate averages relative to Uniform earnings, with an 88.8x Uniform P/E (Fwd. V/E').

At these levels, markets are pricing in expectations for Uniform ROA to expand to new highs, accompanied by 30% Uniform asset growth.

Meanwhile, analysts expect Uniform ROA to improve to 21% in 2022, accompanied by 34% Uniform asset growth.

If sustained going forward, these levels would imply a stock price closer to $31, representing approximately 40% equity downside for the firm.

Moreover, the firm's most recent earnings call suggests management may have concerns about growth, Apple privacy changes, supply chain headwinds, and augmented reality.
Underlying
Snap Inc. Class A

Snap is a camera company. The company's primary product, Snapchat, is a camera application that helps people to communicate visually through short videos and images called Snaps. The company's products are: Camera, which includes tools for people to personalize their Snaps; Chat, which includes interacting with friends on Snapchat; Discover, which includes providing Stories and Shows from publishers, creators, and the community; Snap Map, which shows a live map of the user's location; Memories, which enables users to save the Snaps they create in a personal collection called Memories; and Spectacles, which includes creating Memories by using Spectacles, which are the company's sunglasses that make Snaps.

Provider
Valens Research
Valens Research

In 2009, just as the dust was settling from the last major equity and credit market crises, we launched a boutique research firm with the intention of breaking Wall Street’s biases and broken incentives:

  • GAAP and IFRS have failed to provide rules for reliable financial statement reporting
  • Stock analyst recommendations are not grounded in disciplined financial analysis
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  • Utter lack of willingness of major research firms to employ the the most advanced forensic analysis available

We sought to provide investors and company analysts with a source of information that changed all that.
Many years later, our business model remains because little has changed on Wall Street.

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The integrity of Valens Research is founded in our disciplined processes and analytics. No “star” analysts. No corporate advisory relationships. No-nonsense opinions and recommendations.

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Valens Research

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