Report
Valens Research

SWK - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2020 09 25

Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. (SWK:USA) currently trades near corporate averages relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) earnings, with a 20.6x Uniform P/E. At these levels, the market has expectations for profitability to remain stable, but management may be concerned about margins, products, and the MTD Holdings acquisition

Specifically, management may lack confidence in their ability to maintain margins and pivot their business rapidly. Furthermore, they may be concerned about the declining light vehicle production of Engineered Fastening, the potential of the new cordless tools in their FLEXVOLT product line, and their growth and business position. In addition, management may have concerns about the acquisition of MTD Holdings
Underlying
Stanley Black & Decker Inc.

Stanley Black & Decker is a provider of hand tools, power tools and related accessories, engineered fastening systems and products, services and equipment for oil and gas and infrastructure applications, commercial electronic security and monitoring systems, healthcare solutions, and automatic doors. The company's segments include: Tools and Storage, which is comprised of the power tools and equipment and hand tools, accessories and storage businesses; Industrial, which is comprised of the engineered fastening and infrastructure businesses; and Security, which is comprised of the convergent security solutions and the mechanical access solutions businesses.

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Valens Research
Valens Research

In 2009, just as the dust was settling from the last major equity and credit market crises, we launched a boutique research firm with the intention of breaking Wall Street’s biases and broken incentives:

  • GAAP and IFRS have failed to provide rules for reliable financial statement reporting
  • Stock analyst recommendations are not grounded in disciplined financial analysis
  • Credit agencies have been set up to grossly fail in their responsibilities to investors and the public markets
  • Utter lack of willingness of major research firms to employ the the most advanced forensic analysis available

We sought to provide investors and company analysts with a source of information that changed all that.
Many years later, our business model remains because little has changed on Wall Street.

  • Corporate credit ratings remain years behind the fundamental underpinnings of company performance
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  • The governing accounting bodies have created more leeway for mis-estimates and mis-classifications as financials have become unwieldy and overwhelming

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