Report
Valens Research

TWLO - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2021 10 25

Twilio Inc. (TWLO) currently trades near historical highs relative to Uniform assets, with a 24.5x Uniform P/B (V/A').

At these levels, markets are pricing in expectations for Uniform ROA to expand to record highs of 44%, accompanied by 30% Uniform asset growth.

Meanwhile, analysts expect Uniform ROA to remain negative through 2022, accompanied by 12% Uniform Asset growth.

If sustained going forward, these levels would suggest significant potential equity downside. That said, as an early-stage growth name, it is not uncommon to see the expectation for a material positive inflection.

However, the firm's most recent earnings call suggests management may have concerns about growth, margins, and the Segment.io acquisition.
Underlying
Twilio Inc. Class A

Twilio provides a cloud communications platform that enables developers to build, scale and operate communications within their software applications via the company's Application Programming Interfaces (APIs). The company's platform consists of three layers: Engagement Cloud, which provides functionality for a specific purpose, such as two-factor authentication or a contact center; Programmable Communications Cloud, which provides a range of products that enables developers to embed voice, messaging and video capabilities into their applications; and Super Network, which contains a set of API's giving the company's customers access to components of its platform.

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Valens Research
Valens Research

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